{"id":295099,"date":"2024-09-06T12:43:37","date_gmt":"2024-09-06T16:43:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=295099"},"modified":"2024-09-06T12:43:37","modified_gmt":"2024-09-06T16:43:37","slug":"guardians-dodgers-prop-picks-september-6-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/guardians-dodgers-prop-picks-september-6-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Guardians vs. Dodgers prop picks Sept. 6: Fade Teoscar Hernandez, Bo Naylor in L.A."},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cleveland Guardians tonight for the opener of a three-game set.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> This is a potential World Series preview between a pair of teams in line for first-round byes. There are things to like about both starting pitchers tonight, which has me fading Teoscar Hernandez and Bo Naylor in the prop market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Guardians vs. Dodgers prop picks<\/a> for Sept. 6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guardians vs. Dodgers prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB Markets: Click Here<\/a> | MLB Stats: Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet<\/a>: Hernandez under 0.5 runs (-129)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93750<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hernandez typically bats cleanup for the Dodgers, which means he’s in a better spot to drive in runs than to score them himself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lately, he hasn’t done a ton of either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The former Blue Jay is in a production decline that began on Aug. 11. Since then, he’s batting .226 with a sub-.300 on-base percentage. Hernandez has scored just eight runs over 22 games in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In fairness, Hernandez tends to hit lefties well … but I’m not bullish on his chances to excel in tonight’s matchup against Cleveland southpaw Matthew Boyd. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 10-year veteran just made his season debut with Cleveland last month and has posted a 2.38 ERA over four tidy starts. Opponents are hitting just .175 off him so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Boyd is a decent but not overpowering strikeout pitcher, yet he’s mowed down Hernandez several times in the past. In this head-to-head matchup, Hernandez is just 1-for-10 with five Ks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From the cleanup spot, Hernandez would have to be excelling at the plate for me to want to back him to score a run. Given that he’s struggling a bit and is already not in an optimal spot from which to score, I’m content to fade him tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Hernandez has gone under 0.5 runs in 16 of his past 22 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Naylor under 0.5 hits (-118)<\/a>:<\/strong> Naylor has gone hitless in almost exactly half of his starts (44 of 89), and this looks like another reasonable spot to fade him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93762<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tonight, left-hander Landon Knack gets the ball for the Dodgers. The rookie has allowed just a .169 BA to lefty hitters through 10 appearances (eight starts).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Naylor, meanwhile, is 13-for-66 (.197) against LHPs this year. That’s right in line with his season-long xBA (.197), as measured by Baseball Savant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Playing with a platoon disadvantage in an unfamiliar matchup means Naylor should struggle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mookie Betts over 0.5 runs (-127)<\/a>:<\/strong> Let’s end on a positive one, shall we? This isn’t anything special price-wise, but I do like Betts’ chances of cashing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93761<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since returning from the injured list last month, Betts has a .904 OPS in 21 starts. He’s scored a run in eight of his past 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Betts is 3-for-10 in his career against Boyd and has posted a .325 BA against lefties this year. He’s also reached base multiple times in six of his past 10 games, creating ample opportunities for teammates to bring him home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 12:20 p.m. ET 09\/06\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking to get started? Sign up here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cleveland Guardians tonight for the opener of a three-game set. The pregame narrative: This is a potential World Series preview between a pair of teams in line for first-round byes. There are things to like about both starting pitchers tonight, which has me fading Teoscar Hernandez and Bo Naylor […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":295125,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-295099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGuardians vs. Dodgers prop picks & predictions: Sept. 6 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Guardians vs. Dodgers prop picks for Sept. 6. 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