{"id":295074,"date":"2024-09-06T10:13:27","date_gmt":"2024-09-06T14:13:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=295074"},"modified":"2024-09-06T10:13:27","modified_gmt":"2024-09-06T14:13:27","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-braves-september-6-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-braves-september-6-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays picks vs. Braves Sept. 6: Bet on Guerrero, Varsho and Olson to produce"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

After Thursday’s off-day, the Toronto Blue Jays embark on a new series against the Atlanta Braves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Atlanta, now tied for the final wild-card spot in the NL, desperately needs to start stacking wins. But my focus tonight is on Toronto’s two hottest hitters, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Daulton Varsho.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best Blue Jays picks vs. the Braves on Sept. 6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Blue Jays picks vs. Braves<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB markets: Click Here<\/a> | MLB stats: Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet: Varsho over 0.5 runs (+140)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93707<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Atlanta starter Max Fried was on a tear, I might pause a bit when looking at this prop market. But the left-hander has been quite hittable over the past month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since the start of August, Fried has a 4.96 ERA over six starts. Opponents have 29 hits and 21 runs against him over 32.2 innings in that span. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Varsho has never faced Fried, but lefty-on-lefty matchups are supposed to favour the pitcher. In this case, the opposite is true.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This season, Varsho has a .296\/.361\/.477 slash line against lefties (.838 OPS). His OPS against righties is more than 200 points worse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As for Fried, he’s allowed lefties to bat .330 against him with an .870 OPS. By comparison, righties have a .203 BA and a .554 OPS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From the No. 2 spot in the Blue Jays’ lineup, Varsho is in a great spot to score because Guerrero bats right behind him (and we’ll go further on Guerrero in a moment). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A rare lefty-lefty matchup that favours the hitter certainly helps, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Varsho has a .905 OPS and 14 runs scored over his past 16 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Guerrero over 1.5 bases (+120):<\/strong> Can you even say Guerrero is on a heater anymore? Or is he just really damn good? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93726<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since the all-star break, Guerrero has a .419\/.489\/.813 slash line, as well as a league-best 257 wRC+. His strikeout rate is just 8.7% in that span \u2014 third-lowest among 161 qualified hitters \u2014 which is another way to indicate how locked in he’s been.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 42 post-all-star games, Guerrero has cashed this bet 29 times (69.0%). The implied probability on this line is 45.9%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guerrero is 1-for-5 with a double against Fried, but they haven’t matched up in three years. I’ll gladly ride with modern-day Vladdy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matt Olson over 1.5 bases (+130):<\/strong> Olson was last year’s home run king with 54 long balls, but he’s only at 25 with a few weeks to go this season. Fortunately, the first baseman seems to have rediscovered his power stroke.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93725<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 13 games since Aug. 22, Olson has a .686 SLG and has cashed this bet nine times. In that 13-game span, 12 of his 15 hits have gone for extra bases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kevin Gausman wasn’t announced as Toronto’s starter at the time of this writing, but he is lined up to pitch tonight. Olson is 3-for-10 with a home run against Gausman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 9:45 a.m. on 09\/06\/24<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

After Thursday’s off-day, the Toronto Blue Jays embark on a new series against the Atlanta Braves. The pregame narrative: Atlanta, now tied for the final wild-card spot in the NL, desperately needs to start stacking wins. But my focus tonight is on Toronto’s two hottest hitters, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Daulton Varsho. Check out the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":295079,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60,65],"tags":[18,10],"class_list":["post-295074","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","category-toronto-blue-jays","tag-blue-jays-betting","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBlue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Braves: Sept. 6 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Braves for Sept. 6. 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