{"id":294795,"date":"2024-09-04T13:52:55","date_gmt":"2024-09-04T17:52:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=294795"},"modified":"2024-09-04T13:52:55","modified_gmt":"2024-09-04T17:52:55","slug":"ravens-vs-chiefs-week-1-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/ravens-vs-chiefs-week-1-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Ravens vs. Chiefs Week 1 same-game parlay predictions: Back Pacheco and Baltimore on the spread in +370 TNF SGP"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Ladies and gents, we’ve made it. Week 1 of the NFL season is here, and it starts with an AFC championship game rematch between the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> In a matchup featuring a pair of two-time MVP quarterbacks, I’ve built a four-leg parlay around running backs and defence. Don’t forget that the Ravens and Chiefs ranked first and second, respectively, in scoring defence last season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out our Ravens vs. Chiefs predictions for the season opener on Thursday, Sept. 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ravens vs. Chiefs SGP predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Under 52.5 points + Ravens +7.5 + Henry over 49.5 rush yards + Pacheco over 49.5 rush yards (+370)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under 52.5 points (-240):<\/strong> Betting an under in the first game of the season might seem like a killjoy move. Think of it more as a reality check.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93568<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Baltimore allowed a league-low 16.5 points per game in the regular season last year. KC’s defence was just behind that at 17.3 PPG.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And when these teams met with the conference title on the line, they combined for just 27 total points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s tempting to look at overs with Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson on the field … but guys like Chris Jones and Roquan Smith will be out there, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At this number, the under was 14-5 in Ravens games last year. All 21 Chiefs games went below this total. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Ravens +7.5<\/strong> (-250):<\/strong> It’s fair for the two-time defending champion Chiefs to be favoured on home soil, but I feel good about taking the Ravens with some extra points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93569<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Ravens went 5-2 ATS as a road team last year, per Team Rankings, and they covered this line in all 19 matchups (regular season and playoffs included).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

KC only covered a -7.5 line in eight of 21 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jackson, coming off an MVP campaign, now has future Hall of Famer Derrick Henry flanking him in the backfield. Baltimore is fully healthy on both sides of the ball and should put up a great fight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Henry over 49.5 rush yards<\/strong> (-295):<\/strong> No team rushed the ball more last year than the Ravens, who stuck to the ground game for 49.9% of their offensive plays. That kind of scheme is a great sign for Henry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93570<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Baltimore’s solid offensive line lost three starters but should still be better than the group Henry ran behind with the Tennessee Titans in 2023. Either way, this is a modest yardage total for the elite workhorse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Henry was a Pro Bowler in four of the past five seasons, averaging 100.1 rush yards per game in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For as strong as the Chiefs’ defence figures to be, it bends to the run game sometimes. KC ranked 24th in the NFL last year in yards allowed per rush (4.5).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pacheco over 49.5 rush yards (-230):<\/strong> Like the Chiefs, the Ravens’ stout defence was prone to some occasional lapses in the run game last year and allowed a hearty 4.5 yards per tote. That helps make the case for this pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93572<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As does the fact that Pacheco was impressively reliable at this yardage milestone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 2022 seventh-rounder followed a strong rookie season with even better results last year, rushing for 66.8 yards\/game during the regular season. In 18 total games (playoffs included) Pacheco cashed this bet 14 times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That includes his 68-yard output against the Ravens in the AFC title match.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 1:20 p.m. on 09\/04\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ladies and gents, we’ve made it. Week 1 of the NFL season is here, and it starts with an AFC championship game rematch between the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs. The pregame narrative: In a matchup featuring a pair of two-time MVP quarterbacks, I’ve built a four-leg parlay around running backs and defence. Don’t […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":294825,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-294795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nRavens vs. Chiefs predictions: TNF Week 1 SGP | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Ravens vs. Chiefs SGP predictions for Week 1. 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