{"id":294748,"date":"2024-09-04T10:07:48","date_gmt":"2024-09-04T14:07:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=294748"},"modified":"2024-09-04T10:07:48","modified_gmt":"2024-09-04T14:07:48","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays picks vs. Phillies Sept. 4: Bet on Francis, Toronto to get off to a strong start"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In the lone afternoon game of the day, the Toronto Blue Jays host the Philadelphia Phillies to wrap up a two-game set.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Can Bowden Francis bring his awesomeness from August into a new month? We&#8217;ll find out today as he takes the mound against the No. 2 team in the National League. I like the Blue Jays on the F5 moneyline and I&#8217;m backing both Francis and Daulton Varsho in the prop market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best Blue Jays picks vs. the Phillies on Sept. 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Phillies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>MLB markets:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.northstarbets.ca%2Fsportsbook%2Fsports-hub%2Fbaseball%2Fmlb&amp;data=05%7C02%7CSpencer.Closs%40northstargaming.ca%7C916f83cdf6b946d991c308dcbd828528%7Ca474078ecda74c118881901a044d2bef%7C0%7C0%7C638593615480015353%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=glJDBFkhC3LlPn8TV%2Fci0zsI%2FxcZyEJj%2FJpQPRib62o%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click Here<\/a>&nbsp;| MLB stats:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.northstarbets.ca%2Fsportsbook%2Fnews%2Fstats&amp;data=05%7C02%7CSpencer.Closs%40northstargaming.ca%7C916f83cdf6b946d991c308dcbd828528%7Ca474078ecda74c118881901a044d2bef%7C0%7C0%7C638593615480025470%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=fm4gxgwnsPkAy6JgPBFxseYap85TjIRttY90lvM%2F9ZE%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Blue Jays draw no bet &#8211; first five innings (+110)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:93505\">Embed: #93505<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto put up six runs in the first inning yesterday and still found a way to lose the ballgame. I&#8217;m not interested in backing the Jays&#8217; bullpen, which ranks 28th in ERA (4.81) and 27th in K\/9 (8.0).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I&#8217;ll gladly take a plus-money flier on the first half of the game, as Francis looks to keep his heater alive on the mound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>August&#8217;s AL Pitcher of the Month has allowed just four runs and nine hits over his past 34.0 innings of work. That equates to a 1.06 ERA and a .081 opponent batting average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unsurprisingly, Toronto led at the F5 mark in each of those games. In fact, the Jays have been F5 winners in each of Francis&#8217; past seven starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez had an excellent start against the Jays in May, tossing 7.0 innings of one-run ball. But six of Toronto&#8217;s starters from that game are no longer on the team, so that doesn&#8217;t tell us much about how he should fare tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And really, Sanchez could be in for a bit of a wake-up call. The Jays rank fifth in wRC+ (116) and fifth in SLG (.443) since the all-star break. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A tie at the five-inning mark would mean a push for this bet. With Francis humming on the mound and Toronto&#8217;s offence posting strong numbers lately, I expect at least that much from the Jays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> The Blue Jays went 5-0-0 on the F5 moneyline in Francis&#8217; five starts in August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Francis over 17.5 outs (-125):<\/strong> Toronto used six relievers in last night&#8217;s meltdown, and three of them tossed 20-plus pitches. A start with some length from Francis would be more than welcomed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:93509\">Embed: #93509<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Francis has cashed this bet in four consecutive starts, averaging 21.8 outs per game in that span. And as mentioned, he was utterly dominant over the past month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Phillies have a ferocious offence, but they&#8217;ve never seen Francis before. And even if they get to him a bit, Francis is more than capable of collecting quick outs (he completed 7.0 IP in just 70 pitches last time out).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Varsho over 0.5 runs (+135):<\/strong> Lefty-lefty matchups are rarely good news for hitters, and yet that&#8217;s when Varsho has been at his best this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:93506\">Embed: #93506<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The outfielder is batting .294 with an .832 OPS against LHPs. By contrast, he&#8217;s batting .199 with a .688 OPS against RHPs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Varsho hits from the No. 2 spot in the Jays&#8217; lineup, just ahead of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. That&#8217;s about as good of a run-scoring spot as you can ask for.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Guerrero, coming off a four-hit night, has a 1.315 OPS since the all-star break and owns a 1.070 OPS this season against lefties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 9:45 a.m. on 09\/04\/24<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the lone afternoon game of the day, the Toronto Blue Jays host the Philadelphia Phillies to wrap up a two-game set. The pregame narrative: Can Bowden Francis bring his awesomeness from August into a new month? We&#8217;ll find out today as he takes the mound against the No. 2 team in the National League. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":294758,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-294748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Phillies: Sept. 4 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Phillies for Sept. 4. MLB betting odds and predictions for Wednesday&#039;s game in Toronto.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Phillies: Sept. 4 | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Phillies for Sept. 4. MLB betting odds and predictions for Wednesday&#039;s game in Toronto.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-09-04T14:07:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/09\/CP172962323.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1080\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/\",\"name\":\"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Phillies: Sept. 4 | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-09-04T14:07:48+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-09-04T14:07:48+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Phillies for Sept. 4. MLB betting odds and predictions for Wednesday's game in Toronto.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Phillies: Sept. 4 | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Phillies for Sept. 4. MLB betting odds and predictions for Wednesday's game in Toronto.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Phillies: Sept. 4 | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Phillies for Sept. 4. MLB betting odds and predictions for Wednesday's game in Toronto.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2024-09-04T14:07:48+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1080,"height":720,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/09\/CP172962323.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/","name":"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Phillies: Sept. 4 | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-09-04T14:07:48+00:00","dateModified":"2024-09-04T14:07:48+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Phillies for Sept. 4. MLB betting odds and predictions for Wednesday's game in Toronto.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-phillies-september-4-2024\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/294748","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=294748"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/294748\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":294764,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/294748\/revisions\/294764"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/294758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=294748"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=294748"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=294748"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}