{"id":293867,"date":"2024-08-29T12:47:51","date_gmt":"2024-08-29T16:47:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=293867"},"modified":"2024-08-29T12:47:52","modified_gmt":"2024-08-29T16:47:52","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-august-29-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-29-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Aug. 29: Bobby Witt Jr., Bryce Harper should make noise"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;m all over the Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies matchup for tonight&#8217;s MLB prop bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Bryce Harper is in a familiar matchup and should be able to do damage. On the Braves&#8217; side, I&#8217;m fading the bases props for a pair of hitters. Elsewhere, Bobby Witt Jr. has great value to score against the Houston Astros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out how I&#8217;m backing them in the top MLB prop bets for Aug. 28.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>MLB Markets:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb\">Click Here<\/a>&nbsp;| MLB Stats:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\">Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Harper over 1.5 bases (+148)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:93001\">Embed: #93001<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harper gets a great price tonight to stay hot at the plate while facing a pitcher he&#8217;s already tagged.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What&#8217;s not to like?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s largely been a second-half swoon for Harper, whose .983 OPS at the break has fallen nearly 100 points since. But he&#8217;s back to swinging a hot stick, cashing his bases prop in five of the past six games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tonight, Harper faces longtime foe Charlie Morton, and the head-to-head history favours the two-time MVP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harper is 11-for-27 (.407) with a home run, a triple and a double off Morton. He&#8217;s also drawn eight walks, which doesn&#8217;t help the bases prop but could indicate that he sees the ball well out of Morton&#8217;s hand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Speaking of Morton, I think he&#8217;s someone to fade on the road on Thursday. Here&#8217;s how his past two starts in Philadelphia went:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sept. 11, 2023: 6.0 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 4 BB<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sept. 9, 2022: 4.2 IP, 6 H, 6 ER, 3 BB<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Harper still ranks 14th in MLB in slugging percentage (.520) and 12th in OPS (.887). In a great matchup, I&#8217;m happy to ride with him at a price like this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Harper has gone over 1.5 bases in 49 of 117 games (41.9%). The implied probability of this prop bet is 40.3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Witt over 0.5 runs (+100):<\/strong> It&#8217;s too late for Witt to win MVP, but he&#8217;s not slowing down in the slightest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:93008\">Embed: #93008<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since July began, Witt has been on an absurd offensive run. In his past 48 games, he has 49 runs and a 1.230 OPS. He has cashed his runs prop in 34 of those 48 games, which makes this even-money price look like a steal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Witt hits for power and can get into scoring position with his fleet feet, too. He has an extra-base hit in five straight games and in 14 of his past 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Michael Harris II, Orlando Arcia both under 1.5 bases (-129)<\/strong>: A minus-odds combo wager might seem like nasty work, but I think the justification is there to fade these guys against Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:93000\">Embed: #93000<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harris, who is 0-for-7 with five strikeouts against Sanchez, has a .595 OPS and a 26.5% K rate over his past 25 games. He&#8217;s only cashed this bet five times in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arcia, who is 0-for-8 with three strikeouts against Sanchez, has a .158\/.258\/.281 slash line since Aug. 12. He&#8217;s gone under 1.5 bases in 13 of his past 16 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:92999\">Embed: #92999<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though Arcia would seem to have a platoon advantage as a righty hitter against the left-handed Sanchez, that isn&#8217;t the case. Arcia has a measly .255 SLG against lefties this year over 110 at-bats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 2:22 p.m. ET on 08\/29\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m all over the Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies matchup for tonight&#8217;s MLB prop bets. The pregame narrative: Bryce Harper is in a familiar matchup and should be able to do damage. On the Braves&#8217; side, I&#8217;m fading the bases props for a pair of hitters. Elsewhere, Bobby Witt Jr. has great value to score [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":293890,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-293867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets Aug. 29: Picks, predictions and odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for August 29. 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