{"id":293426,"date":"2024-08-26T11:06:27","date_gmt":"2024-08-26T15:06:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=293426"},"modified":"2024-08-26T14:46:18","modified_gmt":"2024-08-26T18:46:18","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-august-26-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-26-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Aug. 26: Bet on Jackson Merrill, Ryan Pepiot"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jackon Merrill and Ryan Pepiot headline today&#8217;s MLB prop bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Pepiot has been dealing for the Tampa Bay Rays and should work deep against the Seattle Mariners. I&#8217;m also backing Merrill to stay hot at the plate and am fading Nestor Cortes in a tough matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Find out why in the best MLB prop bets for Aug. 26.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">MLB Markets:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb\">Click Here<\/a>&nbsp;| MLB Stats:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\">Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Pepiot over 15.5 outs (-117)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:92675\">Embed: #92675<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I backed Pepiot to clear his 16.5 out total last Wednesday against the Oakland Athletics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The righty came through, allowing just two runs over 6.0 innings while striking out five on 90 pitches. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That was his second start since being activated from the IL following a knee infection. He threw 5.1 innings of scoreless ball (also clearing this line) in his return against the Arizona Diamondbacks before that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The third-year starter now owns a 3.65 ERA to pair with a stellar 1.06 WHIP across 19 starts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In June, he posted a 1.72 ERA across three starts against the Kansas City Royals, New York Yankees, and Cleveland Guardians before landing on the injured list. All of this is to say, he&#8217;s been pitching very well for a solid sample size.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now he gets the Mariners, whose offence has been in shambles since the all-star break.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Seattle has the lowest batting average (.207) and the second-highest K rate (26.5%) in the second half. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pepiot played the Mariners earlier this season and dominated them. He gave up one hit and one run while striking out eight over 5.1 IP. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Pepiot has cleared this line in five of his last six starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Merrill over 1.5 bases (-103)<\/strong>: Merrill has re-taken pole position on the NL Rookie of the Year odds board after smacking a walk-off home run last night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:92677\">Embed: #92677<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He&#8217;s now batting .299 in August with a .996 OPS and 13 extra-base hits. Merrill has a knock in nine of his last 10 games and has cleared this mark in six of those contests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He goes up against St. Louis&#8217; Kyle Gibson and the 36-year-old righty has been getting smoked this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gibson has a 5.48 ERA in August while opponents are batting .303 with a .906 OPS. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Merrill&#8217;s batting average against righties (.318) is more than 100 points greater than his against lefties (.213).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Cortes under 4.5 strikeouts (+128)<\/strong>: Cortes is coming off back-to-back quality starts where he threw 7.0 innings against the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:92676\">Embed: #92676<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pitching that deep into ballgames is always a risk for fading strikeout totals but I believe the Washington Nationals will give him trouble tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Firstly, Cortes only cleared this line in one of those starts and three of his last seven. He&#8217;s primarily a contact pitcher with a basically league-average K rate (22.6, 49th percentile per Baseball Savant).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But back to Washington. The Nationals have the second-lowest K rate against lefties since the all-star break (16.6%) and the seventh-best batting average (.271).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They&#8217;re a sneaky productive team that should make the inconsistent southpaw work. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picks made at 10:34 a.m. ET on 08\/26\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jackon Merrill and Ryan Pepiot headline today&#8217;s MLB prop bets. The pregame narrative: Pepiot has been dealing for the Tampa Bay Rays and should work deep against the Seattle Mariners. I&#8217;m also backing Merrill to stay hot at the plate and am fading Nestor Cortes in a tough matchup. Find out why in the best [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":293446,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,155],"class_list":["post-293426","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets Aug. 26: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for August 26. 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