{"id":292731,"date":"2024-08-22T14:43:05","date_gmt":"2024-08-22T18:43:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=292731"},"modified":"2024-08-22T14:43:05","modified_gmt":"2024-08-22T18:43:05","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Aug. 22: Back Paul Skenes and fade Corbin Burnes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I&#8217;m backing one elite arm and fading another in today&#8217;s MLB prop bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Paul Skenes is slumping but is poised to have a monster outing against the lowly Cincinnati Reds. Elsewhere, I think Yainer Diaz and the Houston Astros will give Corbin Burnes all he can handle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Find out why in the best MLB prop bets for Aug. 22.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">MLB Markets:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb\">Click Here<\/a>&nbsp;| MLB Stats:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\">Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Skenes over 7.5 strikeouts (-113)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:92350\">Embed: #92350<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For the first time in a long time, Skenes isn&#8217;t favoured to win the NL Rookie of the Year. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That honour now belongs to San Diego&#8217;s Jackson Merrill who is in the midst of a fantastic season. I think Merrill&#8217;s reign will be short-lived, though, after Skenes carves through the Reds tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh&#8217;s ace might be slumping but Cincinnati is a dream matchup for most pitchers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Reds have the sixth-highest K rate (24.7%) and 10th-highest whiff rate (26.6%) in MLB. They&#8217;ve particularly struggled to hit righties lately, posting the fourth-highest K rate (26.9%) vs. RHP in the last 14 days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now let&#8217;s dig into Skenes&#8217; &#8220;slump.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He&#8217;s only cleared this line in one of his last four starts while posting a 3.47 ERA and a 9.35 K\/9. Those are still some pretty darn good numbers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Skenes went over this mark in eight of nine games prior and has the stuff to put up monster numbers on any given night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Skenes&#8217; 31.8% K rate ranks in Baseball Savant&#8217;s 93rd percentile. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Burnes under 18.5 outs (-143)<\/strong>: Speaking of season-long awards, Burnes was neck-and-neck with Tarik Skubal in the AL Cy Young race at one point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:92351\">Embed: #92351<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But that ship has sailed after a tough run of form.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Burnes has a 9.00 ERA in August, falling under this line in all three starts. The righty had a much more respectable July but still went under this mark in three of five games while posting a 3.09 ERA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And unlike Skenes, Burnes won&#8217;t have a cupcake opponent tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Baltimore Orioles take on the red-hot Houston Astros, who have won 11 of their past 14 games while averaging 4.78 runs per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Burnes has a 13.3% K rate and a .659 opponent SLG against the Astros in 45 combined plate appearances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Diaz over 1.5 bases (+123)<\/strong>: Diaz is one Astro that should feast against Burnes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:92352\">Embed: #92352<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The catcher is red hot with five consecutive multi-hit games. In that stretch, he&#8217;s gone yard three times with just two strikeouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 25-year-old has an exceptional skill to put the bat on the ball. He has a 97th percentile xBA (.307) and 84th percentile K rate (15.5%). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Diaz also has a fourth-percentile walk rate (4.0%), meaning the vast majority of his at-bats end on a ball in play. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picks made at 1:23 p.m. ET on 08\/22\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m backing one elite arm and fading another in today&#8217;s MLB prop bets. The pregame narrative: Paul Skenes is slumping but is poised to have a monster outing against the lowly Cincinnati Reds. Elsewhere, I think Yainer Diaz and the Houston Astros will give Corbin Burnes all he can handle. Find out why in the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":292784,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-292731","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets Aug. 22: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for August 22. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MLB prop bets Aug. 22: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for August 22. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-08-22T18:43:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/08\/Odds-2024-08-22T143504.099-1024x576.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"576\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Avery Perri\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@AveryPerri\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Avery Perri\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/\",\"name\":\"MLB prop bets Aug. 22: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-08-22T18:43:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-08-22T18:43:05+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/fbc93da056637fd792d24b930d5cda31\"},\"description\":\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for August 22. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/fbc93da056637fd792d24b930d5cda31\",\"name\":\"Avery Perri\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7771.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7771.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Avery Perri\"},\"description\":\"Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf \u2014 mainly because it\u2019s easier than actually playing \u2014 but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/home\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AveryPerri\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/averyjperrigmail-com\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"MLB prop bets Aug. 22: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for August 22. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"MLB prop bets Aug. 22: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for August 22. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2024-08-22T18:43:05+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1024,"height":576,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/08\/Odds-2024-08-22T143504.099-1024x576.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Avery Perri","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@AveryPerri","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Avery Perri","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/","name":"MLB prop bets Aug. 22: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-08-22T18:43:05+00:00","dateModified":"2024-08-22T18:43:05+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/fbc93da056637fd792d24b930d5cda31"},"description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for August 22. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-22-2024\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/fbc93da056637fd792d24b930d5cda31","name":"Avery Perri","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7771.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7771.jpg","caption":"Avery Perri"},"description":"Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf \u2014 mainly because it\u2019s easier than actually playing \u2014 but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/home","https:\/\/twitter.com\/AveryPerri"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/averyjperrigmail-com\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/292731","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=292731"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/292731\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":292787,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/292731\/revisions\/292787"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/292784"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=292731"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=292731"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=292731"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}