{"id":292171,"date":"2024-08-17T14:00:45","date_gmt":"2024-08-17T18:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=292171"},"modified":"2024-08-17T14:00:46","modified_gmt":"2024-08-17T18:00:46","slug":"braves-vs-angels-prop-picks-august-17-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/braves-vs-angels-prop-picks-august-17-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Braves vs. Angels prop picks Aug. 17: Fade Sale, bet on Ozuna to shine"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In the final game of the night, the Los Angeles Angels host Chris Sale and the Atlanta Braves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> I&#8217;m fading Sale tonight against an Angels squad that rarely racks up strikeouts against left-handed starters. My other prop bets involve Marcell Ozuna, Michael Harris II and Zach Neto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Braves vs. Angels prop picks for Aug. 17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Braves vs. Angels prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights\">MLB Markets:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb\">Click Here<\/a>&nbsp;| MLB Stats:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\">Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Ozuna over 1.5 bases (-113)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:91873\">Embed: #91873<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Griffin Canning is going through it right now, and I think Ozuna is as well-positioned as anyone to pounce on the Angels starter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Canning has allowed a .294\/.360\/.493 slash line to opponents in seven starts since the beginning of July. According to Baseball Savant, he ranks in the bottom 25 percentile in xERA, xBA, K rate and average exit velocity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Enter Ozuna, who&#8217;s having a stellar season within an otherwise underperforming Braves lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The all-star designated hitter leads the NL in RBI (90) and has a .954 OPS \u2014 his highest OPS aside from the COVID-shortened 2020 season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ozuna ranks in the 94th percentile or better in xBA, xSLG, barrel rate and hard-hit rate. He&#8217;s a certified masher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From the No. 3 spot, Ozuna should have a fair shot to cash his RBI prop (+128). But a lack of production from the hitters ahead of him has led to six straight games without an RBI, so I&#8217;m opting for a prop that is totally within his control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ozuna is 2-for-3 with a home run against Canning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> In his past 10 games, Ozuna has cashed this prop seven times while posting a 1.056 OPS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sale under 7.5 Ks (-112):<\/strong> Sale is the odds-on NL Cy Young favourite, so if you don&#8217;t want to fade him right now I totally understand. This is a perfectly attainable strikeout total for the NL&#8217;s K\/9 leader (11.8).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:91883\">Embed: #91883<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So why, after Sale&#8217;s back-to-back performances with 10-plus Ks, am I fading him?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because the Angels pose a concerning matchup. It&#8217;s not that they excel against lefties (100 wRC+ vs. LHPs this year), but they tend to keep their strikeouts to a minimum. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L.A. has a 19.7% K rate against southpaws this year, which is the sixth-lowest in MLB. And only four of the past 40 (!) starters to face the Angels have cleared this total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sale collects eight-plus Ks more often than not, but I&#8217;m not buying it in this matchup. He&#8217;s only faced two active Angels hitters, and I expect the new faces to get the bat on the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Harris, Neto 1+ hits each (+114):<\/strong> Michael Harris has recorded a hit in all three games since returning from the injured list and should be able to keep that up tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:91885\">Embed: #91885<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harris, the 2022 NL Rookie of the Year, bats leadoff for the Braves and is relied upon to rake in lefty-right matchups. He owns a .291 BA against righties in his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the flip side, Canning has allowed a .278 BA and an .861 OPS against lefties this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To turn this into a plus-money wager, I&#8217;m looking for Neto to also exploit a platoon advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:91884\">Embed: #91884<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The L.A. shortstop is 16-for-45 (.356) in his past 11 games. He&#8217;s never faced Sale, but his track record against southpaws is impressive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Neto has a .410\/.459\/.603 slash line against lefties this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 1:40 p.m. ET 08\/17\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the final game of the night, the Los Angeles Angels host Chris Sale and the Atlanta Braves. The pregame narrative: I&#8217;m fading Sale tonight against an Angels squad that rarely racks up strikeouts against left-handed starters. My other prop bets involve Marcell Ozuna, Michael Harris II and Zach Neto. Check out my Braves vs. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":292224,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-292171","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Braves vs. Angels prop picks, predictions and odds: Aug. 14 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Braves vs. Angels prop picks for Aug. 17. 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