{"id":292096,"date":"2024-08-16T14:33:50","date_gmt":"2024-08-16T18:33:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=292096"},"modified":"2024-08-16T15:36:03","modified_gmt":"2024-08-16T19:36:03","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-august-16-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-august-16-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Aug. 16: Back Jose Soriano vs. Braves and Freddie Freeman against Cardinals"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

For Friday’s MLB slate, I have three player prop recommendations. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative<\/strong>: My first play is a fade on Cincinnati Reds starter Nick Martinez. Later, I’m backing Freddie Freeman and Jose Soriano.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Find out why in the best MLB prop bets for August 16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB Markets: Click Here<\/a> | MLB Stats: Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Martinez under 17.5 outs (-121)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #91809<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This feels like a big line for the Reds right-hander. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martinez is coming off a tremendous outing: seven scoreless innings of one-hit ball with seven strikeouts and no walks versus the Milwaukee Brewers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

That was the second time in seven starts he’s cleared this line. He has pitched well, but the bulk of his work has come as a reliever and he just rejoined the Reds’ rotation this month after getting torched as a starter earlier this season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

There’s a lot to like about him this season (and even last), such as his ability to limit hard contact and get batters to chase. And this year, he’s not walking anyone or giving up homers. But that success has come in a relief role. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martinez has not fared well as a starter and tonight he’ll pitch in his unforgiving stadium \u2014 the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park \u2014 against a top-10 offence since the All-Star Game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Kansas City Royals’ offence has been 15% better than league average (per wRC+) in 24 games post-ASG, and the club ranks fifth in batting average during that stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat<\/strong>: Martinez has a 4.41 ERA at home this year and opponents are hitting .301 off him (compared to 1.71 and .163 on the road).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Freeman over 0.5 RBI (+130)<\/strong>: Full disclosure: I’ve recommended this play twice this week and it didn’t cash either time. But I’m just as bullish on it today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #91812<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The premise for this play earlier in the week was this: The Los Angeles Dodgers were facing a subpar righty and Freeman was slotted No. 3 in the lineup behind Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Well, we get that scenario again today. Los Angeles will see St. Louis Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas, who generally gives up plenty of hits and doesn’t miss many bats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ohtani obliterates right-handed pitching (.303\/.404\/.681) and Betts has a .405 on-base percentage. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Those two get on often, creating a very real scenario where Freeman comes to the plate with both runners on base, guaranteeing someone in scoring position. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Freeman is hitting .314\/.417\/.527 versus righties. He has eight hits in 18 career plate appearances against Mikolas, homering three times and striking out just twice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soriano over 15.5 outs (-129)<\/strong>: The Los Angeles Angels righty has gone at least six innings and allowed one run or fewer in four of his last five starts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #91811<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

His one blemish over that stretch came in a plus matchup against the Oakland A’s, where he allowed six runs and was yanked after 2.2 innings. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soriano has been spectacular at times and more than serviceable for the bulk of the season. He has a 3.36 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and has done an exceptional job at keeping the ball in the yard. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The K\/BB numbers could be better, but he generally gives the Angels innings. Since the start of May, in a span of 15 starts, he’s 11-4 against this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atlanta has a respectable 106 wRC+ post-ASG but it’s a far cry from the MLB-best 124 it put up in 2023. That’s no surprise without Ronald Acuna Jr. and Ozzie Albies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 1:41 p.m. ET on 08\/16\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

For Friday’s MLB slate, I have three player prop recommendations. The pregame narrative: My first play is a fade on Cincinnati Reds starter Nick Martinez. Later, I’m backing Freddie Freeman and Jose Soriano. Find out why in the best MLB prop bets for August 16. MLB prop bets MLB Markets: Click Here | MLB Stats: Click Here Best […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":292113,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,10,155],"class_list":["post-292096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-betting","tag-mlb-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMLB prop bets Aug. 16: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for August 16. 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