{"id":290455,"date":"2024-08-11T14:00:58","date_gmt":"2024-08-11T18:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=290455"},"modified":"2024-08-11T14:00:58","modified_gmt":"2024-08-11T18:00:58","slug":"mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Mets vs. Mariners Sunday Night Baseball picks: Bet on Lindor but fade offence in Castillo vs. Severino matchup"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Two teams in the midst of some intense playoff races meet for a primetime matchup on Sunday Night Baseball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> The Seattle Mariners are tied for the lead in the AL West while the New York Mets are a half-game out of a wild-card spot. In a battle between two very capable pitchers \u2014 Luis Castillo and Luis Severino \u2014 I like the under as my best bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Mets vs. Mariners picks for Sunday Night Baseball on Aug. 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mets vs. Mariners picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full Mets\/Mariners betting markets<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet<\/a>: Under 7.5 runs (-109)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #91323<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I was debating fading the Mets’ team total (under 3.5 runs at -115) as my best bet, but then I realized the Mariners have been the coldest offence in baseball over the past week. So instead, I’m opting to fade these offences together.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the past seven days, the Mariners have a 60 wRC+ and a .171\/.261\/.276 slash line. That’s great news for Severino, who has struggled lately but is capable of getting back into a groove.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From April through June, Severino had a 3.31 ERA and a .604 opponent OPS in 15 starts. If that’s the guy we see on the mound tonight, this Mariners lineup could be in for a rough one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fortunately for Seattle, Castillo is on the mound and should be able to keep the Mets pretty quiet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Castillo has a 2.39 ERA since the start of July, coupled with a .580 opponent OPS. All six of those outings have been quality starts, which means six-plus innings and three or fewer earned runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 98 collective plate appearances against Castillo, the Mets’ current lineup is just 20-for-87 (.230) with 27 Ks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Sixteen of Castillo’s 24 starts have gone under this number, and this under is 5-1 in Seattle’s past six games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Francisco Lindor over 1.5 bases (+112)<\/a>:<\/strong> If there’s one Mets hitter who might be able to get to Castillo, it’s Lindor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #91328<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shifting to the leadoff spot turned out to be a great move for Lindor, who has cashed this bet in 36 of 73 games from the top of the Mets’ lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lindor’s power has been lacking a bit recently, but he does have three multi-hit games in his past four overall. His league-average walk rate and better-than-league-average strikeout rate indicate that he should be up there swinging.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Against Castillo, Lindor is 3-for-9 with a pair of doubles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Jorge Polanco, Pete Alonso both under 1.5 bases (+110):<\/a><\/strong> In a game where I’m not expecting much offence, I’m fading one hitter per side in this plus-money combo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #91327<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Polanco has had some modest success against Severino (2-for-7, a walk), but he’s really grinding at the plate right now. Over his past 10 games, Polanco is batting .171 and has gone under 1.5 bases eight times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As for Alonso, he’s hitless through two games in this series and has gone under 1.5 bases in nine of his past 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #91326<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Righties are batting just .198 with a .557 OPS against Castillo this year, so Alonso should struggle again tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 1:40 p.m. ET 08\/11\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking to get started? Sign up here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Two teams in the midst of some intense playoff races meet for a primetime matchup on Sunday Night Baseball. The pregame narrative: The Seattle Mariners are tied for the lead in the AL West while the New York Mets are a half-game out of a wild-card spot. In a battle between two very capable pitchers […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":290476,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-290455","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMets vs. Mariners picks: Sunday Night Baseball | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Mets vs. Mariners picks for Sunday Night Baseball. Betting odds and predictions for the Aug. 11 game in Seattle.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mets vs. Mariners picks: Sunday Night Baseball | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our Mets vs. Mariners picks for Sunday Night Baseball. Betting odds and predictions for the Aug. 11 game in Seattle.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-08-11T18:00:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/08\/CP215316015-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1708\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/\",\"name\":\"Mets vs. Mariners picks: Sunday Night Baseball | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-08-11T18:00:58+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-08-11T18:00:58+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our Mets vs. Mariners picks for Sunday Night Baseball. Betting odds and predictions for the Aug. 11 game in Seattle.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Mets vs. Mariners picks: Sunday Night Baseball | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our Mets vs. Mariners picks for Sunday Night Baseball. Betting odds and predictions for the Aug. 11 game in Seattle.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Mets vs. Mariners picks: Sunday Night Baseball | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our Mets vs. Mariners picks for Sunday Night Baseball. Betting odds and predictions for the Aug. 11 game in Seattle.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2024-08-11T18:00:58+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":1708,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/08\/CP215316015-scaled.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/","name":"Mets vs. Mariners picks: Sunday Night Baseball | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-08-11T18:00:58+00:00","dateModified":"2024-08-11T18:00:58+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our Mets vs. Mariners picks for Sunday Night Baseball. Betting odds and predictions for the Aug. 11 game in Seattle.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-mariners-picks-sunday-night-baseball-august-11-2024\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/290455","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=290455"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/290455\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":290487,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/290455\/revisions\/290487"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/290476"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=290455"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=290455"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=290455"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}