The favourite: Erling Haaland (+100)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\nHaaland is coming off a “down year” for the Citizens, where he scored 22 goals in 31 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
But context is key. He still ranked third in the Premiership, behind Salah and Alexander Isak, and that 22-goal mark would have been enough to win the Golden Boot seven times since the turn of the century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Haaland’s 22.0 xG generated was only 3.4 behind Salah, according to Fotmob, and he played seven fewer games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
No one had a higher xG per 90 than Haaland’s 0.70. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
In the two years before, Haaland put home 27 and 36 goals \u2014 the latter being the most in EPL history.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
With Rodri returning from injury and Rayan Cherki added to the mix, Haaland should return to his previous highs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Other Golden Boot choices<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Mohamed Salah (+400)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\nSalah just put together one of the best seasons in EPL history, adding a fourth Golden Boot to his trophy cabinet and leading Liverpool to a title.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
No player has ever won five Golden Boots, so does the Egyptian King have what it takes? <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Salah will lead Arne Slot’s dynamic attack, alongside young stars like Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo and, now, German superstar Florian Wirtz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He had the best FotMob rating in the EPL last year (9.0) while ranking third in xG per 90. He also left some goals on the table with 24 big chances missed (second-most in EPL).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Durability is also key for this award, and Salah had played 30-plus games in all but one of his seasons with Liverpool, and even then, he played 28.<\/p>\n\n\n\n