The Washington Wizards and Toronto Raptors meet for the second time in three days.
The pregame narrative: Washington narrowly edged Toronto on Saturday, and I’m betting on the latter to once again make this a competitive contest. I’m expecting a little less scoring from both sides this time around but am backing the over on Jordan Poole’s point total.
Check out my Wizards vs. Raptors SGP predictions for March 10.
Wizards vs. Raptors predictions
Parlay: Wizards +7.5 | Under 234.5 points | Poole over 21.5 points (+550)
Wizards +7.5 (-125): Washington was a smaller underdog ahead of Saturday’s game (4.5 points) than it is today despite beating Toronto, 118-117.
Part of the reason for that is Khris Middleton’s injury. The small forward is out tonight with an ankle injury, and that dampens the team’s outlook.
Still, I think this is too many points for a Toronto squad that’s playing its third game in four nights.
The Raptors have failed to win by eight-plus points in 15 of their last 17 games.
They’ve also struggled in the role of favourite, going 3-4 against the spread despite sporting an overall ATS record of 37-26-1.
Both these teams are well out of playoff position and I’d be shocked to see one side blow out the other.
NBA SGP legs
Under 234.5 points (-163): Saturday’s game topped this total but I expect less offence on Monday.
The two sides combined for 238 points in that matchup, slightly usurping this total.
Washington’s quick tempo can lead to sporadic scoring as the team ranks fourth in pace. Still, I’m comfortable betting on a low-scoring outing from a squad that ranks last in offensive rating (105.9).
Middleton’s absence will only magnify some of the team’s struggles.
A date with the Raptors likely doesn’t invite much more offence, either. Toronto is a middling 15th in pace (99.87) and 26th in offensive rating (109.9).
Both are bottom-10 teams in the NBA in points per game.
Poole over 22.5 points (-108): I expect Poole to dominate the Raptors again.
The talented point guard put up a gaudy 34 points in Saturday’s victory over Toronto, and he should be active once again.
Poole went 12-of-20 from the field and 7-of-12 from deep.
He has topped this total in three consecutive games, averaging 28.0 points per contest during this run.
Poole should tee off on a Toronto team that ranks 21st in opponent effective field goal percentage.
Wizards vs. Raptors predictions made at 4:17 p.m. ET on 03/10/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.