The Minnesota Timberwolves look to even their second-round series against the Golden State Warriors on home court Thursday night.
The pregame narrative: Steph Curry has been ruled out for Game 2 and will likely miss at least a game or two after that. Unsurprisingly, Minnesota is a sizeable favourite in a game with rock fight potential.
Check out my Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game 2 best bets for Thursday, May 8, featuring an over/under pick and prop bets on Naz Reid and Draymond Green.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves best bets
Best Bet: Reid over 12.5 points (-110)
Reid was the only true bright spot on offence for the Timberwolves in Game 1. He finished with 19 points on 8-of-14 shooting off the bench.
Despite being a bench player, Reid gets plenty of minutes. So don’t let that deter you. He played 34 minutes last time out and should continue getting plenty of run based on his efforts.
Reid also takes about half of his shots from beyond the arc, creating the opportunity to do more with less. He’s shooting 48.3% from deep in the postseason so far, averaging 2.3 makes per game.
- Reid has attempted 5+ threes in all five games vs. Golden State this season.
- He has 15+ points in three straight vs. GSW.
This isn’t a huge point total for a guy who has solid 3-point volume and can get hot any given night.
Minnesota needs an injection of offence after a woeful performance in the series opener. Reid should be able to provide that.
Key stat: Reid averaged 14.2 PPG during the regular season. Across all games this year, he’s gone over 12.5 points in 49 of 86 matchups (57.0%).
More Game 2 predictions
Under 201.5 points (-108): Offence was awfully difficult to come by in Game 1, which the Warriors won by a score of 99-88. I doubt things will get easier with the best shooter of all time on the bench.
Curry, who’s given the Warriors 25-plus points on a nightly basis for a decade, leaves a huge hole in Golden State’s offensive plans.
When the Warriors have played without Curry this season, unders are 8-4.
Unders are also 12-9 when Golden State is a road underdog, according to Team Rankings.
Minnesota’s 5-for-29 (17.2%) showing from 3-point range likely won’t be repeated, but let’s give some credit to team defence, too.
The T-Wolves and Warriors ranked sixth and seventh, respectively, in defensive rating during the regular season.
Green over 11.5 rebounds/assists (-115): Without Curry on the court, I expect Green to step up as a facilitator.
Green did have six assists last time out — to go with eight rebounds — and if he gets back to that mark on Thursday I like the chances of this bet cashing.
- In the postseason, Green leads the Warriors in passes per game (55.0). He’s also third in potential assists per game (8.0), behind Jimmy Butler (10.7) and Curry (10.3).
- Green has been primarily playing centre in the postseason and is averaging 5.9 rebounds.
In three matchups against Minnesota this season, Green is 3-0 against this prop. And that was with Curry starting each time.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves best bets made at 3:30 p.m. ET 05/07/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.