The Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors embark on their second-round playoff series Tuesday night at Target Center.
The pregame narrative: Minnesota has a distinct rest advantage for Game 1, as Golden State is coming off a Game 7 road win on Sunday night. The Warriors have won three in a row against the Timberwolves, but these teams haven’t matched up since mid-January.
Check out my Warriors vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions for Game 1 on May 6, featuring Anthony Edwards and Steph Curry.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves predictions
Parlay: Timberwolves ML | Edwards 4+ threes | Curry 25+ points (+300)
Timberwolves moneyline (-275): I’ll be awfully impressed, and stunned, if Golden State emerges with a win in Game 1.
The veteran-driven team was just in Houston on Sunday night to close out a seven-game series against the Rockets. That means two road playoff games in a span of three days, which is never an easy task.
Minnesota, meanwhile, will be coming off five days of rest. The T-Wolves are 13-7 with a rest advantage this year, per Team Rankings.
Golden State is 3-1 against Minnesota this year, but it’s been well over three months since these teams matched up. So I’m not putting much stock in that.
The T-Wolves are 11-1 at home since March and deserve respect for handling the Los Angeles Lakers in five games.
NBA SGP legs
Edwards 4+ threes (-136): Edwards went 0-for-11 from 3-point range in Minnesota’s first-round closeout game. You can look at that a couple of ways.
Pessimistically, you might say that that type of performance doesn’t warrant backing Edwards to cash this 3s milestone prop on Tuesday.
Optimistically, you might see upside in how many 3s he attempted despite the futility.
I reside in the latter camp. Edwards shot through the slump, and that gives me faith that he’s capable of operating with heavy volume regardless of the outcome.
- Dating back to the regular season, Edwards has 4+ threes in 7 of his past 10 home games.
- In four matchups vs. Golden State this year, Edwards shot 17-for-39 (43.6%), cashing this prop every time.
Curry 25+ points (-155): Curry put on two stellar performances in Minnesota earlier this season, putting up 31 points apiece while going 14-for-28 from beyond the arc.
He struggled most of the way in Golden State’s series-clinching win on Sunday before finding his rhythm late with a 14-point fourth quarter.
The Baby-Faced Assassin is 37 now, but he can still turn back the clock in any given game.
Since the 2023 postseason, Curry has 25-plus points in 14 of 20 games.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves predictions made at 1:32 p.m. ET 05/05/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.