On Monday, the Golden State Warriors take on the Toronto Raptors north of the border.
The pregame narrative: Toronto is in full tank mode but I believe there is potential for a lot of points tonight. Therefore, I’ll be taking the over on an alternate total with picks on RJ Barrett and Dennis Schroder in this +380 SGP.
Check out my Warriors vs. Raptors same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 13.
Warriors vs. Raptors predictions
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Parlay: Over 221.5 points + Barrett over 21.5 points + Schroder under 13.5 points (+400)
Over 221.5 points (-223): Toronto has been losing games and giving up a boatload of points at the same time.
Since Dec. 23, the Raptors are 1-9 SU while allowing 126.9 PPG.
In that span, the over on this total is 7-3, and when it hasn’t hit, it’s been because of the Raptors’ lacklustre offence.
However, Toronto scored 113.0 PPG at home this season, almost four points per game more than on the road (109.3).
Overs are 13-7 at Scotiabank Arena this season, also, which is the second-best home overs record in the NBA, per Team Rankings.
SGP legs
Barrett over 21.5 points (-120): This is a risky pick with how Barrett has been playing, but much like his team, he plays better at home.
And it’s pretty drastic.
- Home: 27.2 PPG, 51.7/38.7/79.1 shooting
- Road: 18.9 PPG, 40.8/27.7/60.9 shooting
Some believe he’s struggling due to returning players like Immanuel Quickly taking up shots, but the stats tell me it’s all about the location for Barrett.
He is 10-4 against this line at home this season. In his last game in Toronto, Barrett scored 25 points on 11-of-18 shooting against the Milwaukee Bucks.
Schroder under 13.5 points (-112): This isn’t a line we would’ve seen while Schroder was with the Brooklyn Nets, but he’s settled into a bench role with the Warriors.
In 13 appearances with his new team, Schroder is 2-11 against this line. Toronto provides a good matchup, but the point guard’s ceiling is currently limited.
With Golden State, he’s averaging 9.9 points per game while shooting the ball poorly (33.1%).
Toronto’s defence makes a lot of mistakes but the side has a lot of athletic defenders that can make Schroder’s life tough on Monday.
Anything but an above-average performance would be enough to cash this leg.
Picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on 01/13/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.