The Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers showcase a potential first-round playoff matchup on Thursday.
The pregame narrative: The Lakers are one of the NBA’s top home teams, so I will take them to win tonight. This +380 SGP also includes overs for Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves.
Check out my Warriors vs. Lakers SGP predictions for April 3.
Warriors vs. Lakers predictions
Parlay: Lakers ML | Reaves over 19.5 points | Doncic 3+ threes (+380)
Lakers ML (-120): Backing the Lakers at home has become a personal favourite pick of mine, and for good reason.
- They have the NBA’s third-best home record (29-9).
- They are 11-3 at home since acquiring Doncic.
The Warriors are a tough side to fade right now. They are 19-4 with Jimmy Butler but are playing a sixth-straight game on the road. They are currently 3-2 on this trip.
If there’s anywhere Golden State is vulnerable, it’s on the road. It is 21-17 away from home this season.
Plus, the trio of Doncic, Reaves and LeBron James is at full force right now. I’m predicting them to lead L.A. to another win.
NBA SGP legs
Reaves over 19.5 points (-112): I know Reaves fell well under this mark against the Houston Rockets last time out, but this line is simply too low.
He finished with 13 points, shooting 5-of-11 from the field. But the Rockets own the third best defensive rating and roster some elite wing defenders like Amen Thompson and Dillon Brooks.
Those 11 attempts were his lowest in a game since Feb. 28, so I expect a major uptick in volume tonight.
Here’s what he averaged in March:
- 23.3 points
- 16.4 field-goal attempts
- 48.0% from the floor
Including that down performance against Houston, Reaves has cleared this total in eight of his last 10 games.
Even with his superstar teammates healthy, Reaves has proven to be reliable against this line.
Doncic 3+ threes (-210): Remember when Doncic struggled in a Lakers uniform? Those days are long gone.
Doncic flipped a switch at the end of February and reminded everyone that he’s among the best scorers in the NBA.
- Over the past 16 games, Doncic averaged 30.1 points and shot 40.1% from deep.
- He’s attempting 10.4 and making 4.2 threes per game during that time.
When he’s at his best, which he is right now, Doncic demands a ton of shot volume and around half of those attempts come from beyond the arc.
He failed to cash this wager in the last two games but was 13-1 in the 14 games before. That makes this an easy addition to the parlay.
Warriors vs. Lakers predictions made at 9:25 a.m. ET 04/03/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.