Travis Kelce Super Bowl best bet: Fade superstar’s longest reception prop

Travis Kelce best bet

Travis Kelce is one of the most famous people on the planet, but can you expect Taylor Swift’s boyfriend to step up on the biggest stage at Super Bowl 59?

The pregame narrative: Kelce has had some epic Super Bowl moments, but I’m not expecting one this time around. The Kansas City Chiefs superstar has lost a step and I don’t anticipate him breaking off any big plays against a stout Philadelphia Eagles defence.

Check out our Travis Kelce best bet and predictions for Super Bowl 59 on Feb. 9 in New Orleans.

Travis Kelce best bet

Kelce prop marketsBetting odds
Over 62.5 receiving yards-118
Under 62.5 receiving yards-120
Longest reception – Over 19.5 yards-130
Longest reception – Under 19.5 yards-108
Over 6.5 receptions+110
Under 6.5 receptions-154
Anytime TD+110
To score 2+ TDs+700
Super Bowl MVP odds+1600

NFL odds as of 1:58 p.m. ET on 02/02/2025.

Best Kelce prop pick vs. Eagles

Best Bet: Kelce under 19.5 yards – longest reception (-108)

It doesn’t take a veteran football fan to realize that Kelce doesn’t have the same jump he used to.

The talented tight end is noticeably slower, limiting his ability to create explosive plays for Kansas City.

It’s fair to wonder if Kelce is still a viable go-to option for Patrick Mahomes in the Chiefs’ biggest moments. There were plenty of “got to have it” moments for Kansas City in its win over the Buffalo Bills and Mahomes didn’t turn to Kelce in any of them.

Kelce finished the AFC Championship Game with two catches for 19 yards on four targets. That’s the lowest total he’s ever posted in a playoff game.

Finding room to operate against Philadelphia’s suffocating defence is going to be a tall task for Kelce.

The Eagles don’t just stymie wide receivers on the outside with an elite secondary, they also erase tight ends from most games.

No team allowed fewer receiving yards per game to tight ends than Philadelphia (34.8), according to Yahoo Fantasy.

Kelce may be a quick outlet for Mahomes as he looks to evade pressure from Philadelphia’s ferocious defensive line but don’t expect him to burn this stacked defence for a huge gain.

Key stat: Kelce has failed to record a 20-plus reception in four of his last six games.

Website | + posts

Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.