The Golden State Warriors are massive home favourites against the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday.
The pregame narrative: Portland has won seven of its last nine games but is without Deni Avdija (back), with Jerami Grant (achillies) listed as doubtful. Golden State is 13-6 at home and is laying 10.5 points as Steph Curry looks to stay red-hot in 2026.
Check out my Trail Blazers vs. Warriors SGP picks for Jan. 13, featuring Curry and Donovan Clingan.
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Trail Blazers vs. Warriors SGP
Parlay: Warriors -7.5 | Curry 4+ threes | Clingan over 12.5 rebounds (+330)
Warriors -7.5 (-190): If everyone were healthy, this would probably be close to a pick’em. The Trail Blazers are 3-0 against the Warriors this year, averaging 134.0 PPG in those contests.
But Portland is banged up. Avdija (26.1) and Grant (20.0) rank first and third in points per game, with the former in pole position to win the Most Improved Player award.
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Avdija has played all 40 games leading up to this point, but he missed 10 last season. Portland went 3-7 in those contests, including a 16-point loss at Golden State.
The Warriors have the ninth-best home offensive rating in basketball, and I expect them to fill the basket tonight. Will the Blazers keep up? I doubt it.
Golden State held its own offensively in its matchups against Portland this year, averaging 124.3 PPG.
NBA SGP legs
Curry 25+ points (-400): Curry has been on fire since returning from injury on Dec. 12 (14 games):
- 29.9 PPG
- 46.9 FG%
- 39.1 3PT%
In that span, he is 12-2 against this line with six 30-point performances.
-> Don’t miss out — bet on Curry against the Trail Blazers now!
The veteran guard is still cashing in 3s at a sky-high clip and is also getting to the line around six times per game (and shooting 92.9% from the charity stripe).
Portland gives up the sixth-most points per game to opposing point guards, per Fantasy Pros. This teased-down total should be well within reach.
Clingan over 12.5 rebounds (-115): I wouldn’t be surprised if Clingan finished this game with 15-plus rebounds.
The 7-foot-2, 280-pound sophomore has already done that six times this year, and three of those outings came in his last six games.
Now, he gets to go up against an undersized Golden State team, allowing the fourth-most rebounds per game to opposing centres.
Since Dec. 1, Clingan is averaging the fourth most rebounds (11.5) and the most rebound chances (21.8) in the NBA.
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors SGP predictions made at 1 p.m. on Jan. 13, 2026.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.