It’s do or die for the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night.
The pregame narrative: Minnesota needs to win or its season is over. And it will have to do it on the road against the No. 1-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder, who are 7-1 at home this postseason. I’m not picking a side, but I have combined four player props into a +440 same-game parlay recommendation.
Check out my Timberwolves vs. Thunder SGP predictions for Game 5 of the Western Conference finals on May 28, featuring plays on Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards and Jalen Williams.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder predictions
Parlay: Gobert 8+ rebounds | Edwards 25+ points | Williams 2+ threes & 4+ assists (+440)
Gobert 8+ rebounds (-175): These teams have split the battle of the boards 2-2.
The Thunder outrebounded the Timberwolves in the first two games before Minnesota won the war in Games 3 and 4, its two best contests of the series.
Minnesota was fifth in the NBA in rebounding rate, while the Thunder ranked 24th. With capable bodies on the glass, this should be an area of advantage for the T-wolves.
And it’s Gobert who provides the biggest edge.
- Gobert is coming off his best game of the series, scoring 13 points and corralling nine rebounds. He finished around the rim and buried 3-of-6 free-throw attempts.
- The 7-foot-1 centre also guarded MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for large stretches, either picking him up past half court or helping in switches, and he proved competent doing so.
- His all-around effort led to a series-high 32 minutes.
Gobert’s minutes will partially depend on how the Thunder deploy their own bigs, but I think he’s likely to see a similar amount of floor time.
With that amount of run, Gobert should be able to crack this number. He averaged 10.9 rebounds in the regular season and is 8-3 against this milestone in his last 11 playoff games.
NBA SGP legs
Edwards 25+ points (-190): If the Timberwolves go down, I don’t see how it happens without Edwards chucking.
The star shooting guard was held in check in Game 4, facing constant double teams and pressure that led to a series-worst performance (16 points, 5-of-13 from the field, 1-of-7 on threes).
Oklahoma City played him spectacularly, but that excuse can’t fly again in an elimination game. Edwards has to find a way and I expect to see a much more aggressive version of him tonight.
An aggressive Edwards is getting to the line and firing from long range, a combination we’ve seen deployed frequently with good efficiency.
The 23-year-old entered the Game 4 dud off back-to-back 30-plus-point performances and is averaging 25.8 PPG in the playoffs.
Jalen Williams Game 4 props
Williams 2+ threes (-134): This might be the leg I’m most worried about because Williams isn’t a volume 3-point shooter.
But he’s been efficient from the perimeter this series (50.0% shooting) and dismantled the Timberwolves in Game 4.
- Minnesota had no answer for Williams, who dropped a playoff-high 34 points on 13-of-24 shooting.
- He nailed 6-of-9 shots from deep, marking the third straight game he’s hit multiple triples.
- The first-time all-star is 10-5 against this line this postseason.
Williams 4+ assists (-335): This leg is an easy sell for me. It drives a +325 SGP to +440, and it has hit at a 93% rate in the playoffs.
The Thunder’s 42-point Game 3 loss was the only time this postseason Williams failed to dish out four-plus assists. He was held to a playoff-low 25 minutes in the blowout.
That means he’s 14-1 against this line in the playoffs after averaging a career-high 5.1 assists in the regular season.
No more explanation is needed.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder predictions made at 10:56 a.m. ET 05/28/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.