The Minnesota Timberwolves and Phoenix Suns collide in a match with significant playoff implications on Sunday.
The pregame narrative: Phoenix’s playoff hopes are dwindling, and I’m backing Minnesota with a handful of points against the struggling Suns. Additionally, I’m taking the over on a teased-up game total and Naz Reid’s points prop.
Check out my Timberwolves vs. Suns same-game parlay predictions for March 2.
Timberwolves vs. Suns predictions
Parlay: Timberwolves +4.5 + Over 233.5 points + Reid over 19.5 points (+360)
Timberwolves +4.5 (-155): A recent blowout victory from Phoenix isn’t going to make me buy in.
The Suns crushed the New Orleans Pelicans, 125-108, on Friday. But beating up on the Pelicans isn’t necessarily a sign of good things to come.
Looking at the bigger picture, the Suns have really been struggling:
- The Suns have lost 7 of their past 9 games.
- Phoenix failed to cover this spread in 8 of its past 9.
- Phoenix has the worst ATS record in the NBA this season (21-38-1).
Minnesota is 4-6 in its past 10 — including losses in back-to-back contests — but has covered this number in 15 of its last 19 outings.
Injuries are a concern for the Timberwolves with Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert out and Anthony Edwards questionable, but I expect Minny to be competitive in a meaningful matchup.
SGP legs
Over 233.5 points (+106): It’s hard to take the under in a Suns game.
Phoenix ranks a respectable 14th in points per game (114.0) but has been atrocious on the defensive side of the ball.
- 27th in defensive rating (116.3)
- 22nd in opponent PPG (115.9)
- 127.7 PPG allowed in its past 3 games
The Timberwolves have also been surrendering plenty of points lately. They’ve given up 118.7 points per game across their last three due in part to some key injuries.
These two squads have met twice this season and the over on this total cashed both times.
Reid over 19.5 points (-118): Thirdly, I’m going to pick one of Minnesota’s hottest scorers to fill the net.
Injuries to Randle and Gobert have provided Reid with increased opportunities and he hasn’t disappointed. Bettors can be assured that the playing time will be there as he’s averaging 36.8 minutes in his past 12 games.
Reid has totalled 20-plus points in six of his last seven games, with the outlier being an uncharacteristic three-point performance against the Los Angeles Lakers.
The matchup is right for the big man, too. The Suns are allowing the fourth-most points per game to opposing centres (24.93, according to Fantasy Pros.
Picks made at 12:22 p.m. ET on 03/02/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.