The Minnesota Timberwolves already have two dominant wins over the Sacramento Kings this season, and they’ll try for another one on Monday night.
The pregame narrative: Minnesota has a pair of wins against Sacramento by a combined 41 points this month. In their third meeting in just 16 days, the Timberwolves are 9.5-point road favourites.
Check out my Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP predictions for Nov. 24, featuring Julius Randle and Keegan Murray.
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Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP
Parlay: Timberwolves -9.5 | Randle 20+ points | Murray 2+ threes (+375)
Timberwolves -9.5 (-109): I rarely take a standard spread in a same-game parlay, opting instead for something safer.
But I want no part of the Kings right now, and this is a perfectly attainable margin for Minnesota to win by.
After all, the T-wolves covered this spread in both previous matchups vs. the Kings this month — including a 27-point win in Sacramento on Nov. 9.
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Sacramento is coming off an inexplicable win over the Denver Nuggets (sans Aaron Gordon, mind you), but the team had lost eight in a row by 14-plus points before that.
Also, the Kings won’t have their best player, Domantas Sabonis, tonight.
Sabonis posted a double-double in both previous games against Minnesota, which includes a 34-point, 11-rebound effort in their most recent matchup.
NBA SGP legs
Randle 20+ points (-130): It’s still pretty early, but Randle is off to the best shooting start of his 12-year career.
The 31-year-old has posted a 57.7% effective field goal percentage through 16 games, which is on track to be a career-high rate. He’s averaging 24.7 points, which would be his second-best mark.
Last time out vs. the Kings, Randle shot 9-of-16 from the floor and finished with 26 points.
-> Back Randle to score big vs. the Kings on Monday
He’s 11-5 vs. this scoring milestone this season and has finished with exactly 19 points in four of the unders.
In five games vs. Sacramento since joining the T-wolves, Randle is 4-1 against this milestone while averaging 25.0 PPG.
Murray 2+ threes (-186): Murray debuted two games ago after missing a big chunk of the season with a torn ligament in his thumb. Now he’s healthy and firing away from 3-point land.
- In his first two games of the season, Murray has gone 4-for-14 from deep. Not ideal efficiency, but the volume is nice to see.
- He averaged 2.3 made 3s on 6.3 attempts through his first three seasons in the NBA.
Malik Monk has pulled back his 3-point shooting this year, and De’Aaron Fox is obviously not around anymore. It’s up to Murray and Zach LaVine to carry the offence from the perimeter.
Last season, Murray cashed this bet in 46 of 76 games (60.5%). That includes both home matchups against the Timberwolves, during which he shot 7-for-17 from deep.
Timberwolves vs. Kings SGP made at 1:22 p.m. ET Nov. 24, 2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.