Two of MLB’s top clubs this season, the Detroit Tigers and Philadelphia Phillies, meet for a Sunday Night Baseball matchup at Citizens Bank Park.
The pregame narrative: Philadelphia is the obvious favourite tonight with Cristopher Sanchez on the mound. The Phillies are 15-6 in Sanchez’s starts this year, and he’s been an absolute workhorse for them throughout the summer.
Check out my Tigers vs. Phillies prop bets, featuring prop bets on Sanchez, J.T. Realmuto and Dillon Dingler.
Tigers vs. Phillies prop bets
Best Bet: Sanchez over 18.5 outs (+115)
The Phillies used four relievers yesterday, but their bullpen isn’t all that taxed. That’s not what this pick is about, anyway.
Sanchez has established an impressive habit of working deep into games, and I trust that he’ll have the opportunity to do so again in prime time.
Check out what the left-hander has accomplished in his past two months of work:
- 10 starts
- 1.90 ERA
- 19+ outs in 8 of 10
- 21.3 outs/start
Over the past two months, Sanchez has pitched into the seventh or later in all 10 of his starts. He’s 8-2 vs. this prop in that span, with an average of 21.3 outs.
Sanchez has a long enough leash to crest the 100-pitch mark, but he’s capable of being ultra-efficient, too. He cashed this bet three times in July on fewer than 90 pitches.
The Tigers have been among the toughest lineups on lefties this year, posting a 113 wRC+ (third in MLB), but they’ve slumped recently.
Since the all-star break, Detroit has a 90 wRC+ as a team, which ranks 26th in baseball.
Sanchez is a sinker-baller, and the Tigers rank 26th in xSLG against sinkers from left-handers (26th in MLB), per Baseball Savant.
Key stat: Sanchez went 5-0 vs. this outs prop in July. He allowed exactly one run in four of those five starts.
Best MLB picks
Realmuto over 0.5 RBI (+135): Charlie Morton makes his Tigers debut tonight, which is convenient timing for a Phillies lineup that has seen plenty of him.
Morton, an 18-year vet who pitched in the NL East from 2021-24, has a whopping 212 career plate appearances vs. the Phillies’ active lineup.
Realmuto, one of six Phillies with 20+ PAs against Morton, is 11-for-38 (.289) in this matchup. That’s solid, but I’m more encouraged by the catcher’s recent results.
Over his past 16 games, Realmuto has a .343/.353/.522 slash line. He’s 8-8 vs. this prop.
From the cleanup spot in a loaded Phillies lineup, I expect Realmuto to get a quality chance or two to drive somebody home.
Dingler over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI (+115): For as talented as Sanchez is, Dingler’s numbers vs. LHPs are worth paying attention to.
He’s batting .315 with a .534 SLG against southpaws this season.
In his past 12 games, Dingler has a .357 BA and is 8-4 vs. this prop.
Sanchez’s pitch mix consists of sinkers, changeups and sliders. Against those pitch types from lefties, Dingler has a .368/.368/.605 slash line this year.
Tigers vs. Phillies prop bets made at 2:28 p.m. ET on 08/03/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.