The Minnesota Timberwolves won decisively in Game 3 and have the chance to even things up on Monday.
The pregame narrative: The Thunder were at the unfamiliar end of a blowout on Saturday and look to secure a two-game lead before returning home. Easier said than done, though, as the Timberwolves have been a strong home team in the playoffs.
Check out my Thunder vs. Timberwolves SGP predictions for Game 4 on May 26, featuring plays on Anthony Edwards and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves predictions
Parlay: Timberwolves +5.5 | Edwards 3+ threes | Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points (+310)
Timberwolves +5.5 (-159): It may not have looked like it in Games 1 and 2, but the Timberwolves are legit contenders for the title.
And their playoff success has been fuelled by a 5-1 home record, including a 42-point battering of the Thunder in Game 3.
That was the largest defeat of the season for OKC, and it shows that Minnesota isn’t willing to roll over just yet.
The T-wolves have an average point differential of +13.5 at home this postseason. They haven’t just been winning, but have been running opponents out of their building.
This wager doesn’t require Minnesota to win, however. The team only has to stay competitive, and it’s very capable of that.
Overall, the Timberwolves are 10-1 in their last 11 games at Target Center.
NBA SGP legs
Edwards 3+ threes (-225): The star guard had one of his best games of the postseason on Saturday when he scored 30 points on an efficient 12-for-17 shooting (5-for-8 from 3-point range).
That’s actually below average volume for Edwards, who is averaging 20.5 field-goal attempts for the T-wolves.
On top of that, Edwards has taken eight or more 3s in all but two playoff games. That’s a great volume to work with at the very least.
He finished the regular season ranked second in the NBA with 10.3 attempted 3s per game and hasn’t slowed down much, taking 8.9 triples per game in the postseason.
Overall, Edwards is 8-5 against this line in the playoffs and 4-2 at home.
Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points (-139): On the other side, the NBA’s newest MVP leads the offence for the Thunder.
The Canadian finished the regular season as the league’s top scorer (32.7 PPG) and is averaging 28.7 PPG in the playoffs.
He had arguably his worst showing of the postseason in Game 3, putting up a measly 14 points on 4-of-13 shooting.
However, he cleared this line in five straight games before that, so a better performance should be expected.
Including the Western Conference finals, SGA is 5-2 against this line vs. Minnesota while scoring a blistering 32.0 points per game.
The Thunder’s superstar is 9-5 against this line in the playoffs.
Thunder vs. Timberwolves predictions made at 2:45 p.m. ET 05/26/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.