The Houston Texans and Seattle Seahawks end Week 7 as the second leg of a Monday Night Football doubleheader.
The pregame narrative: This game profiles as a defensive showdown. Houston leaned on its defence to win back-to-back games before its bye. Seattle’s defence has led it to four wins in its last five games. With offence likely being hard to come by, how should bettors treat Monday Night Football?
Check out my Texans vs. Seahawks same-game parlay predictions for Week 7, featuring Sam Darnold.
Texans vs. Seahawks SGP predictions
SGP: Texans +3.5 | Under 48.5 points | Darnold under 219.5 pass yards (+275)
Texans +3.5 (-121): I expect Houston’s defence to keep this game close.
The Texans may have an uninspiring 2-3 record, but they’ve been competitive in every game they’ve played.
Houston has covered this spread in three of its last four games and has played in five one-score games this season.
Its defence can be thanked for that. The Texans are allowing the fewest points per game (12.2) and are tied for eighth in interceptions (five).
Star pass rushers Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter can generate pressure, which has long been the kryptonite of Seattle’s Darnold.
I expect the QB to be under siege all night, which should keep the Texans within this number.
Monday Night Football SGP picks
Under 48.5 points (-295): I don’t anticipate either offence lighting it up.
Houston will be without Christian Kirk, who was the team’s leading receiver in its 44-10 victory over the Baltimore Ravens.
The Texans are averaging 35 points per game with Kirk in the lineup and 12.6 points per game without him.
Now that’s not all because of Kirk, but it is worth pointing out the stark contrast.
Like all offences this year, I expect Seattle to struggle against a stingy Houston defence. No team has scored more than 20 points against the unit.
The under on this total has cashed in four of the Texans’ five games this year.
Darnold under 219.5 passing yards (-114): Lastly, Darnold should struggle mightily.
Opposing passers just aren’t able to generate much against Houston.
The Texans are tied for fourth in opposing yards per pass attempt (5.7) and are surrendering the fifth-fewest passing yards per game (175.2).
Struggling when facing pressure has unfortunately been Darnold’s biggest weakness in the NFL. It’s the very reason why the Minnesota Vikings crashed out of the playoffs and let him walk last season despite going 14-3.
Additionally, Seattle’s offence revolves around the run. It has the highest run-play percentage in the league (49.71%), featuring Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet on the ground.
Lastly, Darnold has gone under this number in two of his three home starts this year.
Texans vs. Seahawks predictions made at 12:37 p.m. on 10/19/2025.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.