The biggest and final game of the NFL season is upon us.
The pregame narrative: By the end of Sunday night, the Kansas City Chiefs will either be celebrating a three-peat or the Philadelphia Eagles will have exacted revenge for Super Bowl 57.
Find out how our staff is betting on the Big Game with our Super Bowl 59 ATS picks and predictions for Chiefs vs. Eagles on Feb. 9.
Super Bowl ATS picks
NorthStar Bets’ Jordan Horrobin, Avery Perri and Chris Toman offer up their Super Bowl ATS picks below.
NFL odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET on Friday, Feb. 7, 2025.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Chiefs | -1 (-110) | -118 | Over 48.5 (-110) |
| Eagles | +1 (-110) | +100 | Under 48.5 (-110) |
Key Super Bowl links and info
- Full Super Bowl Markets
- Super Bowl 59 Injury Report
- Kansas City Chiefs Team Stats
- Philadelphia Eagles Team Stats
Date: Sunday, Feb. 9 | Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Where: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
TV: FOX, TSN, CTV
Super Bowl ATS picks: Chiefs vs. Eagles predictions
Perri (Eagles +1): Betting against the Chiefs in the playoffs is scary business, but I think the Eagles have what it takes to win — and potentially by a good margin.
Philadelphia has the best roster in football. It leads Kansas City in the following categories: Offensive and defensive EPA per play, scoring offence and scoring defence, turnover margin, ATS record, and yards per game.
Patrick Mahomes is the ultimate X-factor, though Saquon Barkley isn’t far off. The freshly-minted Offensive Player of the Year rushed for 2,000 yards this season and has been unstoppable in the playoffs (477 scrimmage yards, five TDs).
If Nick Sirianni and the Eagles stick to their offensive philosophy, Barkley should touch the ball early and often. I trust him to perform and Philly’s defence to keep Mahomes in check. The three-peat isn’t happening.
Horrobin (Eagles +1): It’s easy to make an ATS case for the Chiefs if you’re going off historical narratives or gut feel. Yes, KC has won 17 consecutive one-score games, as well as nine consecutive playoff games. And yes, there’s an air of Mahomesian magic whenever No. 15 in red steps on the field.
But logic — and thus, my gut — have me leaning on the Eagles. They have the stingiest pass defence and the meanest run offence in the NFL, headlined by legitimate game-breakers on both sides of the ball (Barkley, Jalen Carter).
When KC beat Philly in the Super Bowl two years ago, the Chiefs had the NFL’s No. 1 offence by yards and points. They finished smack in the middle of the league in both categories this year.
If the Eagles jump ahead, their pound-the-rock offence can shrink the number of possessions and prevent a comeback. Both teams are experienced, rested and healthy. Philly is simply the better squad.
Star player pages
Toman (Eagles +1): As of Friday morning (Feb. 7), Eagles moneyline is a +104 play. I got them last week at +110 and have them to win in some SGPs as well. So, yes, I like Eagles +1 at -110 but do think you’re better off taking them on the ML or as a favourite on an alternate spread.
The Eagles are 7-1 straight up in their last eight games (playoffs included) and they’ve won all of them by six-plus points.
Philadelphia -5.5 has cashed in 12 of its last 15 games, and you can get +195 odds at that number. That’s where the value is for me. You could also take on less risk and get a plus-money payout for the Eagles to cover a field goal. Definitely something to consider.
As a two-time reigning champ that really only lost one game this season (KC sat all its starters in Week 18), the Chiefs are obviously no pushovers. But several metrics point to the Eagles having the better season, better team and the most explosive offensive player (Barkley) that either squad employs.
Regular season ATS records: Toman: 127-125-7 | Horrobin: 120-132-7 | Perri: 116-136-7
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