The Phoenix Suns travel to Ball Arena to face the Denver Nuggets as part of a busy late-night window in the NBA on Friday night.
The pregame narrative: Phoenix is a mess and will have its hands full in the Mile High City. I like Denver to cover a fairly large number and round out this +420 same-game parlay recommendation with plays on Nikola Jokic and Kevin Durant.
Check out my Suns vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for March 7.
Suns vs. Nuggets predictions
Parlay: Nuggets -7.5 | Jokic 25+ points | Durant 25+ points (+420)
Nuggets -7.5 (-112): Denver is 21-9 at home this season with a point differential of +7.1, the fifth-best mark in the NBA.
The Western Conference’s No. 3 seed is 8-2 against this number in its last 10 games in Denver.
Tonight marks the fourth matchup of the season between these teams. Phoenix took down Denver on Christmas Day and lost the other two by 27 and 17 points.
The Suns enter in poor form. New Durant rumours swirl daily, key players have had to address their locker room situation and Phoenix would not even be a play-in team if the season ended today.
A team with offensively gifted pieces like Durant and Devin Booker should never be taken lightly. But the reality is with just 20 games left in the season, this hasn’t been a very good team.
- Phoenix is 4 games under .500
- Worst ATS record in the West
- 20th in the NBA in net rating
NBA SGP legs
Jokic 25+ points (-225): This SGP hinges on Jokic’s availability. He’s questionable with ankle inflammation but was last game, too, and he suited up to drop 22 points and 15 rebounds.
The Nuggets’ superstar centre averages 28.8 points per game and has reached 25 points in all three meetings vs. the Suns this season.
Phoenix allows the third-most points to the centre position, per Betting Pros, and is 27th in the NBA in defensive efficiency.
Denver’s best player and scorer shouldn’t have much trouble getting to this number again.
Durant 25+ points (-143): This total of 238 points is the second biggest of the night. Lots of scoring is expected.
If the Suns are playing catch-up in a relatively close game, that bodes well for this pick.
Durant gets heavy minutes for the Suns and enters with a scoring average north of this number.
In two meetings vs. Denver this season, Durant scored 23 points and 27 in the other.
More recently, he’s dropped 25-plus points in five of eight contests since the All-Star Game and is 7-3 against this number since returning from a three-game absence in early February.
Phoenix is fighting for a chance to compete in the West playoffs and will need Durant at his best. The star has taken 45 shots in his last two games.
Expect a lot of volume — and points — out of him down the stretch.
Suns vs. Nuggets predictions made at 3:25 p.m. ET 03/07/2025.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.