Saturday afternoon features an AFC North showdown between the division’s two top dogs.
The pregame narrative: I believe the Pittsburgh Steelers’ elite defence can keep this game somewhat close on a teased-up point spread. Prop bets on Derrick Henry, Jaylen Warren and Mark Andrews round out this whopping +525 SGP.
Check out my Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens same-game parlay predictions for Saturday afternoon.
Steelers vs. Ravens same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Steelers +14.5 + Henry anytime TD + Warren over 18.5 receiving yards + Andrews over 19.5 receiving yards (+525)
Steelers +14.5 (-360): If there’s one thing Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin knows, it’s covering the spread as the underdog.
Tomlin’s career underdog ATS record is 55-35-4 (60.6%), but what he’s done against Baltimore is even more impressive.
During his time with Pittsburgh, he’s 13-2-2 ATS as underdogs against Baltimore. Just to squeeze the juice a little more, he has a 5-0 ATS record against Lamar Jackson.
You’d have to go back to Week 15 of last season to find the last time Steel City has lost by this margin, and that was with Mitchell Trubisky at the helm.
With the way Russell Wilson has been cooking this season, I genuinely don’t think it would be possible for the Steelers to lose by more than two touchdowns.
Other parlay legs
Henry anytime TD (-186): I’m not exactly reinventing the wheel with this pick, but it’s an odds booster nonetheless.
Despite three straight games without scoring, Henry still leads the NFL in touchdowns with 15.
We’re getting into prime “Tractorcito” weather with only three regular-season games remaining. There isn’t any time of the year when I’d want to tackle a 250-pound freight train coming at me — and certainly not in below-freezing temperatures.
In a divisional matchup, with playoff seedings on the line, I expect the Ravens’ star running back to break the dry spell and find his way into the end zone.
Warren over 18.5 receiving yards (-114): An ankle injury caused Warren to miss time earlier in the year but he’s been a solid pass-catching option for Pittsburgh since its Week 9 bye.
In his last five games, Warren’s snap share has increased, allowing his receiving numbers to follow suit.
The former Oklahoma State Cowboy has cleared this mark in four of his past five games, averaging just under 26 receiving yards over that stretch.
With George Pickens still sidelined with a hamstring injury, this should provide additional targets for Warren to take full advantage of.
Warren has seen the third most targets on the Steelers offence over Weeks 11-15. Pat Freiermuth is the only active player who’s seen more, with the other being Pickens.
Andrews 20+ receiving yards (-335): As a fantasy football owner of Mark Andrews, I am thrilled about his turnaround following Week 4.
He had 65 yards in the first two games, followed by back-to-back goose eggs in Weeks 3 and 4.
Then, with all the “he should retire” and “washed” slander circling, the turnaround commences.
From Weeks 5 to 15, Andrews has compiled 449 yards and eight touchdowns with a catch percentage of 88.6%. He cleared 20+ yards in every game.
I expect the veteran’s productivity to remain similar against the Ravens’ biggest AFC North rival.
The last game against Pittsburgh was his least productive game in the 10-game stretch, but he still cleared this number.
Picks made at 4:20 p.m. on 12/19/2024
