The San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Lakers take part in a marquee Monday night game.
The pregame narrative: With both teams coming off extended rest, I’m hesitant to pick a side. Instead, my +310 SGP features player props on Anthony Davis, Victor Wembanyama and Chris Paul.
Check out my Spurs vs. Lakers same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 13.
Spurs vs. Lakers predictions
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Parlay: Davis over 24.5 points + Wembanyama over 2.5 threes + Paul over 7.5 assists (+310)
Davis over 24.5 points (-152): This is a matchup Davis can take advantage of, as he’s demonstrated before.
Since the Spurs acquired Wembanyama in the 2023 NBA Draft, Davis is 3-1 against this line versus them. In those games, he scored an average of 31.0 points.
To add, San Antonio allows the fourth-most points per game (25.1) to opposing centres, per Fantasy Pros.
Wemby is a shot-blocking machine but his inexperience can lead to defensive breakdowns and I expect Davis to go off on Monday after an extended break.
SGP legs
Wembanyama over 2.5 threes (-159): Wembanyama has been in a bit of a tough shooting spell right now, failing to clear this line in three of the past five games.
Before that, he sank three or more 3-pointers in six straight games and I’m always happy backing the volume.
Davis is a premier paint defender, so I expect Wemby to spend more time on the perimeter. In his two meetings with the Lakers this season, he attempted 22 total 3s.
Wemby went 2-for-9 and 4-for-13, respectively, in those games. But that volume is what has my attention.
At 7-foot-3, Wembanyama looks unconventional firing 3s at an alarming rate. But he’s a good shooter, averaging 3.3 makes on 9.3 attempts per game from deep (35.4%).
With an expected uptick in volume on Monday, this was a no-brainer addition to the SGP.
Paul over 7.5 assists (-150): Paul has fit like a glove in San Antonio.
The 12-time all-star is no longer in his prime, but he can still dish the rock with the best of them.
In Year 20, Paul averages 8.3 assists per game (sixth in the NBA) and draws a good matchup against the Lakers. Los Angeles allows the fifth-most assists to point guards (9.7).
Additionally, Paul is 15-2 against this line when playing more than 30 minutes in a game this season.
In a game with a 4.5-point spread — in favour of the Lakers — I expect a close game in which Paul logs a lot of minutes.
Picks made at 12:50 p.m. on 01/13/24.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.