The Seattle Seahawks put their undefeated record on the line against the Detroit Lions.
The pregame narrative: Seattle’s hot start doesn’t seem to be getting much league-wide attention. I expect that to change after a strong performance led by DK Metcalf in primetime. Jahmyr Gibbs is an electric running back but I’m fading him against a solid Seahawks defence.
Check out my Seahawks vs. Lions prop picks for Sept. 30.
Seahawks vs. Lions prop picks
Full Seahawks vs. Lions betting markets: Click Here
Best Bet: Metcalf over 64.5 receiving yards (-110)
Seattle’s new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb has made one thing clear through the first three weeks: Metcalf is the focal point of this offence.
After a quiet Week 1 where the superstar wide receiver only recorded three receptions for 29 yards, he’s broken out in a major way. Metcalf has hauled in 14 of his 20 targets for 233 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns.
The opportunity Metcalf is receiving in this offence is too good to ignore. He ranks ninth among all wide receivers in air yards (308) and is 16th in total route wins (52), according to PlayerProfiler.
He draws a very winnable matchup in Week 4 as he faces off with Detroit cornerback Carlton Davis.
Davis made a name for himself with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but he’s failing to live up to the hype with Detroit.
Davis has allowed 19 receptions and 234 yards through the first three weeks.
I expect Metcalf, who’s one of the league’s best big-play receivers, to dominate inside the domed Ford Field.
Key stat: The Lions are allowing the most receiving yards per game to wide receivers (203.0), according to Yahoo Fantasy.
Quick pick
Gibbs under 75.5 rushing and receiving yards (-113): Gibbs has beaten this number in each of his last two games but I’m not sold on a third consecutive over.
My biggest concern is his usage in 2024. Gibbs has played on just 54% of the team’s offensive snaps.
I understand that Gibbs is a dynamic player and only needs a handful of touches to top this mark, but I’m bearish on that happening against a stout Seahawks defence.
Seattle has done a good job at limiting opposing running back’s involvement in the passing game. The defence has ceded the fifth-fewest receiving yards per game (21.3) to the position.
Gibbs failed to record a reception in Week 3. I’m not betting on a strong performance against a very capable defence in Week 4.
Picks made at 2:17 p.m. ET 09/28/2024.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.