Jayden Daniels is back for the Washington Commanders for a primetime date against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: It’s gut-check time for Washington (3-5), which already has as many losses as last year’s squad. The Commanders are home underdogs against a rising Seahawks team that is 10-1 on the road since the start of last season.
Check out my Seahawks vs. Commander picks for Nov. 2, featuring a prop bet on Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
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Seahawks vs. Commanders picks
Best Bet: Smith-Njigba over 94.5 receiving yards (-113)
I’m not exactly sticking my neck out with this pick, given that Smith-Njigba has been the best receiver in the NFL so far:
- 1st in yards (819)
- 1st in yards/game (117.0)
- 1st in yards/target (11.7)
- 6th in receptions (50)
The third-year wideout has been an absolute ball hog, too, commanding the highest target share in the NFL (38.3%).
Defences know what’s coming. And they haven’t been able to stop it.
-> Bet on Smith-Njigba against the Commanders
Why should we expect anything different from the Commanders this week? Their secondary has struggled throughout the season, leading to the 25th-ranked EPA per dropback (according to RBSDM.com).
Washington has also allowed the fourth-most yards to opposing WRs.
Seattle’s WR2, Cooper Kupp (heel), went from a full practice on Wednesday to a limited practice on Thursday. Not necessarily something to read into heavily, but worth noting.
JSN is averaging 22 yards north of this line, and he has 120+ yards in three straight games. Ride the freight train, or get off the tracks.
Key stat: Smith-Njigba is 6-1 vs. this yardage prop and had a respectable total in his one under (four catches for 79 yards).
Sunday Night Football ATS pick
Seahawks -3 (-114): Daniels’ return absolutely raises the ceiling of the Commanders’ offence. But Terry McLaurin is out again, and Washington’s task against this Seattle defence is a daunting one.
The Seahawks’ pass defence should see the return of Pro Bowl corner Devon Witherspoon this week. In the run game, Seattle ranks No. 1 in yards allowed, yards/attempt and EPA per rush.
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Seattle is 5-2 SU and ATS this season, covering this number in every victory (including all three of its road games).
Even if Daniels provides an expected boost to Washington’s offence, Seattle is capable of scoring plenty of points itself. The Seahawks are fifth in scoring, averaging 27.6 PPG.
Seahawks vs. Commanders picks made at 2:15 p.m. ET 10/31/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.