Today’s matchup between the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers presents a mismatch on paper, but there’s prop betting potential.
The pregame narrative: Freddie Freeman is one of MLB’s best hitters. A mouthwatering matchup provides a quality opportunity to wager on him to have a big day.
Check out my Rockies vs. Dodgers props for Sept. 21.
Rockies vs. Dodgers props
Best Bet: Freeman over 1.5 total bases (+105)
With Shohei Ohtani in town and a plethora of other stars filling out L.A.’s lineup, Freeman hasn’t been generating quite the same buzz as he used to. His numbers are down, too, as his .282 batting average is his lowest since 2015.
But one of baseball’s best hitters is entering a prime matchup and has plus-money odds to cash his total bases prop. Sign me up.
It’s difficult to get too down on a guy who’s still providing a .282/.378/.477 slash line with 22 home runs and 88 RBI. Freeman has put up some solid numbers recently, too, as he’s hitting .318 over his last six games.
The Dodgers superstar also gets a matchup with a pitcher who isn’t closing the season with much to feel good about. Rockies starter Cal Quantrill pairs a 4.68 ERA with a 5.11 FIP.
The results have been even worse lately as he has a 7.27 ERA and 6.86 FIP in his last six outings.
The advanced numbers paint an increasingly concerning picture for Quantrill. The righty has a ninth-percentile expected ERA (5.11) and 11th-percentile expected batting average (.272), according to Baseball Savant.
This now marks a second consecutive season where Quantrill ranks amongst the league’s worst in expected ERA and batting average. He was sixth-and-fifth percentile, respectively, in 2023.
Bet on the Canadian citizen to do some damage against the Canadian pitcher on Saturday.
Key stat: Freeman has six hits (including three extra-base hits) in 12 career at-bats against Quantrill.
Pick made at 11:15 a.m. ET 09/21/2024.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.