Two red-hot Western Conference teams meet on Sunday.
The pregame narrative: I’m staying away from picking a side with how the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are both playing right now. I do have a +340 SGP to share, though, with picks on Steph Curry, Amen Thompson and Alperen Sengun.
Check out my Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions for April 6.
Rockets vs. Warriors predictions
Parlay: Thompson 8+ rebounds | Sengun under 19.5 points | Curry 20+ points (+340)
Thompson 8+ rebounds (-134): Back in December, Thompson was inserted into the starting lineup. He’s held his spot in the rotation due to his elite defence and athleticism.
With that comes the ability to rack up rebounds.
In the last 39 games, Thompson has averaged 9.3 rebounds and cleared this line 28 times.
Those are some big-man numbers for the 6-foot-7 forward. As a starter, he’s playing 36.3 minutes per game. That gives him ample opportunity to grab boards on a nightly basis.
In a Feb. 13 matchup against the Warriors, Thompson grabbed nine rebounds in 30 minutes.
NBA SGP legs
Sengun under 19.5 points (-117): Sengun is coming off a 31-point outburst against the Oklahoma City Thunder, but that type of performance hasn’t been commonplace.
Including that game, he’s still gone under this mark in six of the past eight.
Sengun’s season-long scoring average is just below this number (19.2 PPG), plus this is a tough assignment.
The Warriors have the seventh-best defensive rating (112.9) and are allowing 109.9 points per game since March 1 (sixth in the NBA).
In his last game against Golden State, Sengun scored just 10 points. The Rockets were held to 98 as a team.
Curry 20+ points (-295): This is by far my most confident pick, and the odds back it up.
But it brings the price from +205 to +340, so why not tack it on?
It always feels safe backing Curry to score, and he’s playing at an elevated level down the stretch. Take a look at his monstrous last three games:
- 36 points vs. Nuggets
- 37 points vs. Lakers
- 52 points vs. Grizzlies
This isn’t some sort of stat padding against bad teams. All of those squads are well above .500 and sit comfortably inside the postseason picture in the loaded West.
Houston is great on the defensive end, but that didn’t stop Curry in his most recent outing against the Rockets with his new-look Warriors.
In their February meeting, the superstar guard had 27 points on a below-average shooting performance (7-for-17).
Curry has scored 20-plus points in 22 of his past 26 games.
Rockets vs. Warriors predictions made at 9:25 a.m. ET 04/06/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.