The Golden State Warriors will look for a bounce-back performance over the Houston Rockets in Game 6.
The pregame narrative: The Dubs got blown out on Wednesday but return to the Chase Center, where they are 3-0 this postseason. The home team has a prime opportunity to wrap up this series.
Check out my +310 Rockets vs. Warriors SGP predictions for Game 6 on May 2, featuring plays on Steph Curry and Fred VanVleet.
Rockets vs. Warriors predictions
Parlay: Warriors ML | Curry over 24.5 points | VanVleet over 14.5 points (+310)
Warriors ML (-205): Golden State was a no-show on Wednesday, going down 76-49 at half and never recovering in Houston.
Luckily, the Warriors have taken home-court advantage in this series and get one final chance at home to close things out.
- They were 23-7 with Jimmy Butler in the lineup since his midseason acquisition.
- In those 30 games, the Warriors only lost back-to-back games once. Both were played on the road.
In other words, they have been extremely consistent, especially at the Chase Center.
The Warriors are 17-3 at home in the playoffs since 2022.
NBA SGP legs
Curry over 24.5 points (-139): Curry, much like his team, put up a dud in Game 5, scoring 13 points on 4-of-12 shooting.
He only played 23 minutes in the contest because of the score, so that undoubtedly hindered his production.
The good news is, Golden State returns home with another chance to clinch the series. Curry’s taken part in three home games this postseason:
- April 15 vs. Memphis: 37 points (22 FG attempts)
- April 26 vs. Houston: 36 points (23 FG attempts)
- April 28 vs. Houston: 17 points (13 FG attempts)
There’s a clear outlier in terms of volume, which also led to a much lower point total.
Considering Curry averaged 18.0 field-goal attempts per game this season, I feel comfortable saying that he’ll take more than 13 shots on Friday with how important the game is.
If Golden State loses, I don’t think it’ll feel good going into Houston on the brink of elimination after Wednesday’s performance.
Curry has scored 28.6 points per game over his last two playoff runs (18 games).
VanVleet over 14.5 points (-132): The former NBA Champion is starting to show his value as a playoff performer.
After falling short of this mark in the first two games, look how VanVleet has responded in Games 3-5:
- 22.7 PPG
- 52.5 FG% (55.6 3PT%)
- 3-0 against this wager
The point guard struggled with his efficiency this season, shooting a woeful 37.8% from the field (34.5% from 3).
But VanVleet is heating up when it matters most. He is averaging 9.4 attempted threes per game in this series and has topped 20 points in consecutive outings.
Although a similar performance wouldn’t be surprising, we only need 15 for this leg to cash, and that should be attainable with another efficient high-volume shooting night.
Rockets vs. Warriors predictions made at 9:35 a.m. ET 05/02/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.