The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs meet in Week 4 with a lot of early-season implications.
The pregame narrative: Both teams are surprisingly 1-2 heading into this game, and only one can leave with a .500 record. The other will be 1-3 with quite a hole to dig out of.
Check out my Ravens vs. Chiefs +280 same-game parlay predictions for Week 4, featuring Derrick Henry and JuJu Smith-Schuster.
Ravens vs. Chiefs SGP predictions
SGP: Ravens ML | Henry anytime TD | Smith-Schuster over 18.5 receiving yards (+280)
Ravens ML (-150): The Ravens have been an anomaly at 1-2.
Baltimore leads the NFL in scoring through three weeks, putting up a blistering 37.0 points per game.
The team let a big lead slip in the final minutes against the Buffalo Bills and then lost a shootout to the Detroit Lions.
One similarity between those teams is their ability to keep pace on offence. The Bills needed 41 points, and the Lions scored 38 in their win.
No one can completely stop Lamar Jackson and Co., and I don’t have faith in the Chiefs to keep up.
- Kansas City has scored between 17 and 22 points in all three games.
- It failed to take advantage of the New York Giants’ defence and fell short against two good teams (Los Angeles Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles).
The defence was good enough to hold on against New York, but the Ravens pose a much different, much more difficult challenge.
Of course, the Chiefs still have Patrick Mahomes, who can be a difference-maker in any game.
But Kansas City lacks offensive weapons and has been unable to score in bunches.
NFL SGP picks
Henry anytime TD (-200): Henry probably isn’t going to rush for 1,900+ yards again this season, but he’s still a battering ram.
He’s had fumble issues early, but I have full confidence John Harbaugh will keep feeding him near the goal line.
Harbaugh would be a fool not to.
- Henry has three TDs this season, going 2-1 against this wager.
- Since joining the Ravens, he’s scored in 15 of 20 regular-season games.
- His 21 TDs during that time rank third in the NFL.
At 6-foot-2, 252 pounds, Henry is a one-of-a-kind running back. And he’ll continue to benefit in this offence with Jackson.
Henry has carried the ball 58 times in the red zone in 20 games with Baltimore. He had a TD in his lone game against the Chiefs last season.
Smith-Schuster over 18.5 receiving yards (-118): Kansas City will be getting Xavier Worthy back on Sunday, but that shouldn’t remove Smith-Schuster completely from the picture.
- He’s been effective to start the season, catching 10 of 12 targets for 115 yards.
- He’s averaging 38.3 yards per game and is 2-1 against this wager.
This is a really modest line that he could get over with only a reception or two.
Smith-Schuster has been on the field for more than 65% of his team’s offensive snaps in all three games (141 total).
Worthy exited with an injury just three plays into the season opener, so he basically hasn’t played. I’d be surprised to see him handle a full workload.
Baltimore has a below-average pass defence, ranking 21st in EPA per dropback, according to RBSDM.com.
Plus, with Mahomes’ lack of a run game to fall back on, he should be slinging it, and I expect Smith-Schuster to get some targets.
Ravens vs. Chiefs predictions made at 4:29 p.m. ET on 09/26/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.