The Toronto Raptors will play their third California opponent in four nights on Wednesday, as they head to Sacramento to face the Kings.
The pregame narrative: Sacramento was blown out at home by the Miami Heat last night, while Toronto won in a laugher against Golden State. The Raptors are road favourites and should come out with another win.
Check out my same-game parlay Raptors vs. Kings predictions for Jan. 21, featuring Jamal Shead and Malik Monk.
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Raptors vs. Kings predictions
SGP: Raptors -3.5 | Shead under 1.5 threes | Monk over 1.5 threes (+325)
Raptors -3.5 (-200): Hand up, I picked the Warriors to beat the Raptors last night … and Toronto made me look foolish in a 145-127 win.
Did my bingo card have Immanuel Quickley dropping 40 points on 13 shots? No, it did not. Still, the Raptors have played well enough lately to earn more respect than I showed.
And the Kings, meanwhile, hardly deserve any respect at all.
- Over their past 15 games, the Raptors are 9-6 with a +2.8 net rating (ninth in the NBA).
- In the same span, the Kings are 5-10 with a -8.7 net rating (29th in the NBA).
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Sacramento played at Golden State less than two weeks ago and lost by 35. Most recently, the Kings have lost back-to-back home games against the Trail Blazers and Heat by a combined 20 points.
The Kings are now 8-12-0 ATS as home underdogs, per Team Rankings.
NBA SGP picks
Shead under 1.5 threes (-148): Shead doesn’t shoot a ton of 3s, and his efficiency has been worse than usual lately. I’m all over this under.
The ex-Houston Cougars guard is shooting a paltry 32.7% from deep on 3.6 attempted 3s per game. That equates to an average of 1.2 makes
-> Bet on Jamal Shead and Malik Monk tonight in Sacramento!
In fairness, his 3-point shot volume has ticked up recently … but he’s offsetting that with lesser efficiency, meaning this under is still largely reliable.
Over his past 11 games, Shead is shooting 30.4% from beyond the arc (4.2 attempts/game). This under is 6-5 in that span.
The Kings allow the 10th-fewest made 3s (12.6/game) on the eighth-lowest opponent 3PT% (34.9). So it’s not like this is a matchup that Shead is expected to exploit.
Kings prop prediction
Monk over 1.5 threes (-180): Unlike Shead, Monk’s 3PT% is excellent. He’s shown some high-volume shooting tendencies lately, too, which could make this a steal even at a super-juiced price.
- Monk shot 4-for-10 from deep last time out, which was notably his first game with 10+ attempted 3s on the season.
- He also put up nine 3-point attempts in two of four games before that.
The ninth-year vet is averaging 1.9 makes on a career-high 41.3% clip from beyond the arc. He’s on track to average at least 1.9 threes for a sixth consecutive season.
Raptors vs. Kings predictions made at 12:30 p.m. on Jan. 21, 2026.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.