Two European powerhouses meet with only one spot in the FIFA Club World Cup final to play for.
The pregame narrative: PSG can put a cap on its incredible season by winning the FIFA CWC. First, the French side will have to get through Real Madrid, which is undefeated at the tournament.
Check out my PSG vs. Real Madrid SGP predictions for the semifinal on July 9, featuring Ousmane Dembele.
PSG vs. Real Madrid predictions
Parlay: PSG to win | Real Madrid under 1.5 goals | Dembele over 2.5 shots (+280)
PSG to win (+132): The French side already won the treble, capped off by claiming the Champions League trophy for the first time in club history.
This truly is one of the greatest seasons we’ve ever seen, and it appears the squad is hungry for more.
PSG has conceded just one goal through five matches, holding a +11 goal differential.
For context, Real Madrid has four wins and a draw and is +7. The real difference is the defence. The Spanish side has allowed a goal in three of five fixtures.
Paris has won every game in the knockout stages by at least two goals so far, without conceding a goal.
Luis Enrique’s side has just been dominant, plain and simple, and I believe it’s smart to get behind them with only two possible chances left to do so this season.
Go to full PSG vs. Real Madrid betting markets
Other SGP legs
Real Madrid under 1.5 goals (-148): Let me reiterate — PSG has conceded one goal all tournament and hasn’t conceded in the knockout stages.
The most impressive of the wins was a 2-0 shutdown of Bayern Munich in the quarterfinal.
This is nothing new for Paris. It held 10 straight opponents to fewer than two goals, dating back to the Champions League semifinal second leg against Arsenal.
Real Madrid has a great offence, I can’t just ignore that. The Spanish giant has scored two or more goals in three of five matches.
But PSG is cut from a different cloth. Enrique’s side has allowed just 2.8 xG at the FIFA CWC. That unsurprisingly leads any team, regardless of when they were eliminated.
Dembele over 2.5 shots (-195): The French attacker has been a huge part of PSG’s success this season.
He wasn’t available for the group stage at this tournament but returned to his team for the knockout stages.
Dembele came off the bench in the round of 16 and played less than 30 minutes. But he started in the quarterfinal against Bayern Munich, and scored on three shot attempts, cashing this wager.
Real Madrid is the weaker defensive side in this matchup. It’s allowed the ninth most xG (6.9) of any team in the FIFA CWC.
If anyone is going to take advantage of that with his creation, it’s Dembele. Across all competitions, he cashed this wager in 24 of his past 27 starts for PSG.
PSG vs. Real Madrid predictions made at 11:27 a.m. on 07/07/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.