PSG and Inter Milan battle for European glory when they meet in the Champions League final on Saturday.
The pregame narrative: PSG has a lot at stake this weekend, with an opportunity for its first-ever Champions League trophy while completing its first treble. The French side is the favourite to defeat Inter, which has been on par with its counterpart in this competition.
Check out my PSG vs. Inter Milan SGP predictions for May 31, featuring picks on Bradley Barcola and Hakan Calhanoglu.
PSG vs. Inter Milan predictions
Parlay: Inter to win or tie | Barcola over 0.5 shots on target | Calhanoglu over 0.5 shots (+310)
Inter to win or tie (-148): It’s hard to bet against a team as defensively sound as Inter.
The Italian giants ranked second in the Champions League, allowing 0.8 goals against per game. The side has kept eight clean sheets, which is the most in the competition.
Those clean sheets weren’t always against weak competition, either. The Italian club held both Arsenal and Manchester City goalless earlier in the season.
PSG is certainly a better team than most. According to Fotmob, the French side ranked first in match rating (7.26) and produced a whopping 63 big chances through 16 games.
But even if this match gets out of hand, Inter has the tools to adapt and put on the offence when necessary.
- QF vs. Bayern Munich: 4-3 aggregate win
- SF vs. Barcelona: 7-6 aggregate win
Inter went 6-1-1 in the group stages and won or tied all six legs in the knockout stages. It is an extremely tough side to beat, and at worst, I think this match will go to extra time.
Go to full Champions League final betting markets
Other SGP legs
Barcola over 0.5 shots on target (-167): PSG’s striker has been a staple in the squad across all competitions this season.
- He appeared in 50 matches and recorded a shot on target in 35 of them.
- In the Champions League, Barcola is 10-6 vs. this wager.
The spring is the busiest part of the soccer schedule, and the attacker played 11 matches between April 5 and May 19.
That led to a lack of production in the knockout stages. Barcola averaged just 41.5 minutes per match in the quarterfinal and semifinal, playing 20 or fewer minutes twice.
The Frenchman went 1-3 against this line but recorded a shot on goal in the single match where he played 70-plus minutes.
An extended break should have the starting 11 fully fit to play a large chunk of Saturday’s final.
Calhanoglu over 0.5 shots (-225): The midfielder has started in 10 Champions League matches this season.
- Calhanoglu is 9-1 against this line in those games.
- Despite his position in the midfield, he ranks third on Inter with 13 shots in this competition.
One of the big reasons for that is his status as Inter’s free-kick taker. If there is a foul anywhere around PSG’s penalty area, Calhanoglu would have the option to take a free shot attempt.
He’s one of the best there is at set pieces, so I’m confident he would have eyes for the goal if given the chance.
On top of that, he can create in open space, and only one attempt at PSG’s goal is needed for this final leg to cash.
Calhanoglu scored a goal on three shots in the semifinal second leg vs. Barcelona.
Soccer picks made at 10:00 a.m. on 05/30/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.