Pistons vs. Bucks SGP predictions Nov. 22: Back Detroit behind strong performance from Jalen Duren

Pistons vs. Bucks predictions

The Detroit Pistons are the hottest team in the NBA, and they’ll look to continue rolling on Saturday night against the shorthanded Milwaukee Bucks.

The pregame narrative: Giannis Antetokounmpo (groin) is out for the Bucks, who are 8-point home underdogs against a Detroit team that has won 11 straight games. The Pistons are 9-2 ATS during their win streak.

Check out my Pistons vs. Bucks SGP predictions for Nov. 22, featuring Jalen Duren and Ryan Rollins.

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Pistons vs. Bucks predictions

Parlay: Duren over 17.5 points | Rollins 20+ points | Pistons -4.5 (+375)

Duren over 17.5 points (-121): Duren’s scoring numbers have exploded this season, as he’s up to 20.6 PPG through 13 games.

In 78 games last year, he averaged 11.8 PPG.

How has the fourth-year centre nearly doubled his scoring average? Yes, he’s taking more field goal attempts, but the real answer is at the free throw line.

  • So far this season, Duren is averaging 7.3 free throw attempts and has a 77.9 FT%.
  • In his first three years combined, he averaged 2.8 attempts and posted a 69.1 FT%.

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The Bucks allow the fourth-most free throws per game. So if Duren is looking to draw contact, I expect that he will.

In November, Duren is averaging 24.3 PPG and is 7-1 vs. this point total.

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Rollins 20+ points (-152): Like Duren, Rollins is a fourth-year pro who’s having an impact at the game’s highest level.

But unlike Duren, Rollins was a late second-round pick from an unheralded basketball program who was a rather anonymous player prior to this season.

But it’s time to learn the name.

The former Toledo guard is shooting 44.3% from deep so far this year while starting in 15 of 16 games for the Bucks. He only had 19 starts through his first three seasons in the NBA.

-> Back Jalen Duren and Ryan Rollins on Saturday night

Rollins matched a season-high with 32 points last time out in his second game playing without Giannis. In the first game without Giannis, Rollins had 25 points on 10-of-15 shooting.

Giannis is out again tonight, and Rollins should see a significant shot volume as a result. He’s 4-1 vs. this scoring milestone in his past five games.

Pistons -4.5 (-182): Giannis’ absence is a notable part of why I like the visiting Pistons with some points on Saturday.

But even with Giannis, the Bucks haven’t been anything more than a middling team. The Pistons, on the other hand, have been excellent.

  • Detroit sits atop the Eastern Conference and has the fourth-highest net rating in the NBA (+6.7).
  • Entering Saturday, the Pistons are on an 11-game win streak. They’ve covered this number in 10 of those games.

Milwaukee (8-8) ranks 19th in net rating (-1.4) and is 2-8 ATS in its past 10 games.

Pistons vs. Bucks predictions made at 11:32 a.m. ET Nov. 22, 2025.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.