The Philadelphia Phillies and San Francisco Giants start a three-game series on the West Coast.
The pregame narrative: Both teams enter this contest looking to extend their winning streaks to three games. Cristopher Sanchez (2.68 ERA) starts for the Phillies opposite Landen Roupp (3.48 ERA) for the Giants.
Check out my Phillies vs. Giants picks for July 7, featuring Trea Turner and Willy Adames.
Phillies vs. Giants picks
Best Bet: Turner over 0.5 runs (+104)
The shortstop has put together a tidy six-game hit streak. He’s batting .346 over that stretch and hits out of the leadoff spot for the Phillies.
That means power bats like Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm are behind Turner in the order on most nights.
Leading off with a hot bat is a great place to be when looking for scoring opportunities.
Roupp’s 3.48 ERA may seem decent, but his advanced stats paint a different picture:
- 37th percentile xERA (4.15)
- 34th percentile xBA (.257)
- 24th percentile pitching run value (-4)
He’s been the beneficiary of some good ball luck as demonstrated by his 1.48 WHIP. Either that or he has an incredible clutch gene.
Roupp gives up a ton of base runners, and I expect Turner to take advantage by reaching base multiple times. Then it’s on the power bats to drive their leadoff man home.
Key stat: Turner has scored in three of the past four games.
Quick pick
Adames under 0.5 hits (+118): I faded Adames yesterday, and it blew up in my face. The slugging shortstop hit a home run, quieting me quickly, at least until today.
And that’s because, as hot as Adames is, I can’t look past his ugly splits this season.
- Vs. RHP: .253 average (.408 SLG)
- Vs. LHP: .149 average (.264 SLG)
Jacob Lopez of the Athletics is a serviceable southpaw, but he’s not elite like Phillies starter Sanchez.
He is holding left-handed batters to a .178 average (.192 SLG) in 83 plate appearances this season.
Adames has a hit in seven straight games, but this is a great spot to fade the infielder at a good price.
Sanchez has worked six or more innings in six straight starts (all quality starts), so he should see a lot of Adames on Sunday and has the tools to contain him in a lefty-on-lefty matchup.
Phillies vs. Giants picks made at 10:19 a.m. ET on 07/07/2025.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.