The New England Patriots look to stay undefeated on the road against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: Patriots’ rookie TreVeyon Henderson is making a late surge for Offensive Rookie of the Year, and he has another chance to put up big numbers against the Ravens.
Check out my Patriots vs. Ravens SGP predictions for Dec. 21, featuring Isaiah Likely.
-> Join NorthStar Bets to start betting on the NFL.
Patriots vs. Ravens SGP
SGP: Patriots +7.5 | Henderson 50+ rushing yards | Likely 3+ receptions (+350)
Patriots +7.5 (-265): New England looked on the way to winning its 11th straight game last week before blowing a 21-0 lead to the Buffalo Bills.
I won’t put much stock into the collapse since Josh Allen and Co. are known to make epic comebacks from time to time.
Usually, Lamar Jackson and the Ravens would also have that in their locker, but this season has been different.
Jackson has been plagued with injuries, while Baltimore narrowly holds on to a chance to make the playoffs at 7-7.
The Ravens did trounce the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 15 by a score of 24-0, but lost two straight before that.
-> Don’t miss out — check out NorthStar Bets’ SNF prop markets!
I’m more willing to chalk that up to a disastrous game from Joe Burrow rather than a sign that Baltimore is back.
It can be easy to dismiss the Patriots because of their woes last season, but they are legit contenders.
Drake Maye has put up MVP-type numbers as a sophomore, and his team is just as dangerous on the road.
In fact, the Patriots are a perfect 6-0 away from Gillette Stadium, further cementing them as an elite football team.
Sunday Night Football SGP picks
Henderson 50+ rushing yards (-114): The Patriots are great now and have the potential to be even better in years to come.
That has a lot to do with Maye being 22 years old, but don’t sleep on Henderson.
- The rookie has rushed for 773 yards and seven touchdowns. He has recorded an impressive 5.4 yards per carry.
- Most of that production came in the second half. Since Week 8, Henderson has cleared this line in every game (7-0), averaging 88.6 yards per game.
- He had two games with 140+ rushing yards during that time.
-> Bet on TreVeyon Henderson and Isaiah Likely on SNF
Henderson still splits the work with Rhamondre Stevenson, but the good news is he only needs around 10 carries to clear this total.
And it becomes clearer every week that the young running back is the better of the two and more than capable of assuming a bell cow role.
Last week, he had 148 rushing yards on 14 attempts against the Bills.
Likely 3+ receptions (+105): Likely wasn’t targeted in the Ravens’ clobbering over the Bengals.
Despite the win, it was a very bad game script for Baltimore’s pass catchers.
Jackson threw a season-low 12 pass attempts and had just 150 passing yards in the blowout.
For context, his next lowest was in Week 1 when he attempted 19 passes.
-> Go to full Patriots vs. Ravens markets for Sunday Night Football
So I’m going to look past that game and focus on Likely’s prior performances.
- Week 13: six targets, five catches, 95 yards
- Week 14: six targets, four catches, 25 yards
With his quarterback clearing working through an injury, I’d rather back the tight end in the receptions market rather than yards.
If Jackson is required to pass more — and he should be — Likely should see his fair share of targets.
Patriots vs. Ravens predictions made at 12:35 p.m. ET on Dec. 21, 2025.
-> Sign up to NorthStar Bets today!
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.