All eyes will be on Patrick Mahomes in the quarterback’s quest for a three-peat, but how should bettors wager on the Kansas City Chiefs superstar?
The pregame narrative: No player will be more comfortable on the biggest stage in sports than Mahomes. I expect the quarterback to leave it all on the field in his quest for NFL history, and like his odds to score a rushing touchdown.
Check out our Patrick Mahomes best bet and predictions for Super Bowl 59 on Feb. 9 in New Orleans.
Patrick Mahomes best bet
| Mahomes prop markets | Betting odds |
| Over 253.5 passing yards | -118 |
| Under 253.5 passing yards | -120 |
| Longest pass – Over 35.5 yards | -120 |
| Longest pass – Under 35.5 yards | -118 |
| Over 30.5 rushing yards | -120 |
| Under 30.5 rushing yards | -118 |
| Over 23.5 completions | -138 |
| Under 23.5 completions | +100 |
| Over 35.5 pass attempts | -130 |
| Under 35.5 pass attempts | -108 |
| Over 288.5 passing/rushing yards | -118 |
| Under 288.5 passing/rushing yards | -120 |
| Over 1.5 pass touchdowns | -175 |
| Over 0.5 interceptions | -112 |
| Under 0.5 interceptions | -125 |
| Anytime TD | +275 |
| Super Bowl MVP odds | +100 |
NFL odds as of 12:01 p.m. ET on 02/02/2025.
Best Mahomes prop pick vs. Eagles
Best Bet: Mahomes anytime TD (+275)
Mahomes has proven countless times that he’s willing to do whatever it takes to win on the biggest stages.
Just take his effort in the AFC Championship Game for example. The quarterback rumbled his way to two rushing touchdowns in the narrow victory over the Buffalo Bills.
It won’t be shocking to see Mahomes take off and run in this game, either. He’s going up against a Philadelphia pass defence that’s arguably the best in the NFL.
- Eagles rank first in opponent yards per pass (5.5)
- Second in opponent passing yards per game (184.9)
- Tied for eighth in sacks per game (2.6)
- First in opponent average team passer rating (80.9)
Bettors shouldn’t expect Mahomes to sit back and pick apart what is truly an elite secondary.
Quinyon Mitchell, Darius Slay Jr. and Cooper DeJean form one of the strongest cornerback trios in the NFL. Safeties C.J. Gardner-Johnson and Reed Blankenship will make it difficult for Mahomes to create big plays on the rare opportunities where he has time with the ball.
Instead, I expect Mahomes to scramble a decent amount in this contest and find pay dirt with his legs.
Key stat: Mahomes has three rushing touchdowns in his last four starts.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.