The Florida Panthers are one win away from repeating as Stanley Cup champions, and their top scorer is the frontrunner for the Conn Smythe Trophy.
The latest: Sam Bennett has scored a ton of big goals in the playoffs and hasn’t looked back since overtaking Edmonton Oilers superstar Connor McDavid in this awards market after Game 3. In fact, McDavid now sits tied for third behind Brad Marchand.
Let’s take a look at the current 2025 Conn Smythe odds ahead of Game 5 on June 14.
Conn Smythe odds
The favourite: Sam Bennett (-215)
Bennett leads the Stanley Cup playoffs in goals (15) while scoring five times so far through five Stanley Cup Final games. And an incredible 13 of those goals have come on the road.
With a blend of scoring touch and grit, Bennett is making an impact on both ends of the ice.
He’s second among all playoff performers in scoring chances (79) and hits (103).
Bennett’s 22.7% shooting percentage would almost certainly be unsustainable over a full season, but he’s cashing in on his chances when it matters most.
And it’s not like he’s been completely lucky. He ranks second in expected goals (9.72), per Natural Stat Trick.
The 15-goal total is the obvious headliner for Bennett’s Conn Smythe case, but his overall generation of offence — plus his peskiness on defence — make him a well-rounded candidate.
Does McDavid have value?
Last year, McDavid finished with 42 points in postseason play — 10 more than the next closest skater. That included 11 points in the Cup Final against the Panthers.
That was why he won the Conn Smythe despite being on the losing team, something that hadn’t happened since 2003.
Looking at his advanced stats in the 2025 postseason, McDavid’s dominance is made even clearer:
- 1st in individual expected goals (11.89)
- 1st in individual scoring chances (95)
- T-1st in points (33)
McDavid scored his first goal of the Stanley Cup Final in Game 5 but that was just his second point in the last three games.
His teammate, Leon Draisaitl, is tied on the odds board and ranks second in playoff goals (11), four of which have come in overtime.
Go to full Stanley Cup Final betting markets
Conn Smythe notes
- Marchand has been aging like a fine wine. He has 10 playoff goals, and became the second player in the last 50 years to score five goals in two different Stanley Cup finals, joining Mario Lemieux. If Florida wins, he will go down as one of the greatest deadline acquisitions of all time.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.