With as much soap opera drama as you could drum up for an early-season game, Micah Parsons and the Green Bay Packers head to Dallas to face the Cowboys in prime time.
The pregame narrative: Parsons was dealt from Dallas to Green Bay this time last month, with Kenny Clark and some picks headed the other way. It’s a revenge game on an individual level for Parsons, and a chance for the Packers to bounce back after an embarrassing loss in Cleveland last week.
Check out my Packers vs. Cowboys picks for the Sunday Night Football matchup on Sept. 28, featuring a prop prediction on Romeo Doubs.
Packers vs. Cowboys picks
Best bet: Doubs over 39.5 receiving yards (-118)
Green Bay spreads it out in the passing game, but Doubs is still the leader of the pack.
Doubs leads the Packers’ receiving room in these categories:
- Yards (121)
- Air yards (187)
- Yards after catch (5.0/reception)
- Snap share (78%)
- Catches of 20+ yards (2)
Last week, Doubs only had two targets, which is obviously not what we’re looking to see. He caught them both for 25 yards.
Green Bay’s offensive line play was dreadful in Week 3, forcing Jordan Love to run for his life. That probably helps explain why Doubs was underutilized as an outside receiver.
Nobody has gotten torched by wideouts as much as the Cowboys, so I expect Doubs to be far more involved this Sunday.
Dallas has allowed 220.3 yards/game to opposing WRs. According to RotoWire, opposing quarterbacks have a 139.1 passer rating against the Cowboys (last in the NFL).
The matchup really couldn’t be better, and this is a very modest yardage line for a WR1.
Key stat: Doubs has faced the Cowboys once, in the 2024 wild-card round, and he caught six passes for 151 yards.
Sunday Night Football prop pick
Packers -6.5 (-112): Dallas impressed some folks (myself included) by hanging around against the defending champion Eagles in Week 1.
But then they coughed up 68 points over two games against the Giants and Bears. Not exactly a feat to brag about.
The Packers need a get-right game on offence, and this is the right matchup to make that happen.
Green Bay’s defence — led by Parsons and Rashan Gary up front — has looked elite. The Packers have the NFL’s second-ranked defensive success rate so far, per RBSDM.com.
In Weeks 1 and 2, Green Bay covered this number with decisive wins over the Lions and Commanders. Last Sunday’s stunning loss against the Browns should be a wake-up call for the championship-calibre team.
Dallas is 1-6 ATS as a home dog since the start of last season, according to Team Rankings.
Packers vs. Cowboys picks made at 4:29 p.m. ET 09/26/2025.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.