It comes down to this — Game 7 between the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder for the Larry O’Brien Trophy.
The pregame narrative: This series has been closer than many expected, needing all seven games for a conclusion. OKC will be at home, where it is 10-2 this postseason. But Indiana has thrived as an underdog in these playoffs and needs one more surprise win to claim its first NBA title.
I’m targeting Pascal Siakam and Jalen Williams in my Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks for June 22.
Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks
Best bet: Siakam over 10.5 rebounds/assists (-130)
This is a line that Siakam has been consistently hitting the over on in the NBA Finals.
- Game 1: 10 rebounds, three assists
- Game 2: seven rebounds, four assists
- Game 4: eight rebounds, five assists
- Game 5: six rebounds, five assists
- Game 6: 13 rebounds, three assists
In the one outlier (Game 3), he finished with 10 rebounds/assists, just shy of this mark.
The former Toronto Raptor was always considered a strong No. 2 option at best, but he’s leading the Pacers into a Game 7 against a historically great team.
And as much as he can score, he’s been filling up the statsheet recently.
Siakam elevated his game as a passer and rebounder, averaging 7.2 potential assists (any pass that leads directly to a teammate’s shot) and 13.3 rebound chances per game in the Finals.
Key stat: Overall, he’s averaging 12.3 rebounds/assists in this series.
Game 7 prop prediction
Williams over 27.5 points/rebounds (-109): Williams fell shy of this mark in Game 6, but the Pacers were up big, and most starters had a lightened workload.
That included the Thunder’s No. 2 option, who played just under 27 minutes in the contest. For reference, he averaged over 35 for the first five games.
Before Thursday’s game, Williams had cleared this line in three straight. That included a 40-point, six-rebound outburst in Game 5 at home.
He averaged 31.0 and 6.3 rebounds in those games.
Williams didn’t play badly last time out either. He hit 6-of-13 shots for 16 points in his limited minutes. An uptick in volume would be very beneficial for this wager.
The dynamic forward is 8-3 against this line in the postseason when taking 18 or more shots.
Pacers vs. Thunder prop picks made at 8:31 a.m. ET 06/21/2025.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.