The Edmonton Oilers and Florida Panthers meet for a pivotal Game 4 in the Stanley Cup Final on Thursday.
The pregame narrative: Florida is favoured to take a commanding 3-1 series lead after blowing out Edmonton at home on Monday. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl were both held pointless in Game 3, and have to step up to level this series and regain home ice.
Check out my Oilers vs. Panthers SGP predictions, featuring Draisaitl and Brad Marchand.
Oilers vs. Panthers predictions
Parlay: Oilers +1.5 | Draisaitl 1+ point | Marchand 1+ point (+300)
Oilers +1.5 (-186): It will be interesting to see how the Oilers perform after having two days to chew on an embarrassing 6-1 loss.
But I expect them to come out flying. One game doesn’t define a team, and Edmonton’s broader body of work suggests there will be serious pushback.
- The Oilers are 13-4 since losing the first two games of the playoffs. They’ve covered a +1.5 puck line in 15 of those games.
- Edmonton is 7-3 on the road in the playoffs, covering +1.5 eight times.
Panthers head coach Paul Maurice even said he expects Game 4 to be more like the first two in this series.
Is there some gamesmanship in there? Sure. But these teams are evenly matched, and Edmonton still has the best two players on the ice.
NHL SGP legs
Draisaitl 1+ points (-375): Draisaitl was held pointless for just the second time this postseason, and I can’t picture that happening again.
The German winger had multiple points in four straight games before that, and has a point in every other road game this playoff.
Draisaitl ranks fifth all-time in playoff points per game (1.473). The only players ahead of him are Barry Pederson, McDavid, Mario Lemieux and Wayne Gretzky.
If you want to amplify this parlay’s payout, I recommend backing Draisaitl to score (+120). That would bring the total to +540.
Marchand 1+ points (-120): Marchand would still be among the greatest deadline acquisitions of all time even if he went pointless from here on out.
- The longtime Boston Bruin has eight goals and 18 points in 20 playoff games for the Panthers.
- He’s scored four goals in the Cup final, including the overtime winner in Game 2.
- Marchand has found the stat sheet in five of his last six games.
His line with Anton Lundell and Eetu Luostarinen is leading the Panthers in chances (30), xG (1.57), and high-danger chances (five) this series.
I expect the veteran to stay hot and get some deserved down-ballot Conn Smythe votes as well.
Oilers vs. Panthers predictions made at 9:30 a.m. ET 06/12/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.