The embattled Denver Nuggets look to right the ship on Wednesday when they play the Sacramento Kings.
The pregame narrative: Denver fired head coach Michael Malone on Tuesday amid a four-game losing streak. Rash decision or not, I’m betting the Nuggets to respond with a win tonight. Prop bets on Nikola Jokic and Domantas Sabonis round out this +335 wager.
Check out my Nuggets vs. Kings SGP predictions for April 9.
Nuggets vs. Kings predictions
Parlay: Nuggets -2.5 | Jokic 2+ threes | Sabonis 12+ rebounds (+335)
Nuggets -2.5 (-139): Is firing a head coach two seasons removed from winning the NBA championship a good idea? It’ll take some time to answer that question, but I expect Jokic and Co. to come through in the short term with a win.
Denver is still one of the league’s top teams at 47-32. It owns the fourth-best offensive rating (118.7) and ninth-best net rating (+3.2) in basketball.
Sacramento, by contrast, sits seventh (115.8) and 15th (+0.6) in those categories.
The Kings are a league-worst 1-7 ATS as home underdogs this season, losing those games by an average of 13.8 points, according to Team Rankings.
Denver has won four straight games against Sacramento.
NBA SGP legs
Jokic 2+ threes (-190): I don’t know what’s gotten into Jokic lately, but I like it.
The three-time MVP is averaging 4.3 made 3s on 9.7 attempts in March, going 3-0 against this line.
He’s been a stellar 3-point shooter all season (41.5%), but has rarely shot with that type of volume. The good news is we don’t need Jokic to attempt 10 threes tonight for this to be in play.
Sacramento allows the second-most 3s per game (14.7) on the highest opponent 3PT% (38.2).
Sabonis 12+ rebounds (-167): Jokic is a beast on the glass, but Sabonis is a cut above, and I expect him to have a night.
- Sabonis is averaging a league-best 13.9 rebounds per game.
- He has 10+ rebounds in 60 of 67 starts and 12+ rebounds in 50 of 67 starts.
The Lithuanian big man had 19 rebounds when he last played Denver on Jan. 23. That was part of a seven-game stretch where he averaged 16.9 boards and cleared this mark in each game.
Sabonis has cleared this mark in five of his last six games against the Nuggets.
Nuggets vs. Kings predictions made at 11:10 a.m. ET 04/09/2025.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.