For the second time in just over a week, Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets face Domantas Sabonis and the Sacramento Kings.
The pregame narrative: Sabonis (chest) is questionable after missing a pair of games on Nov. 5 and 7. He played on Sunday, though, posting 20 points and 13 rebounds in just 30 minutes. Denver is looking for its seventh consecutive win in this Western Conference matchup.
Check out my Nuggets vs. Kings SGP, featuring picks on Jokic and Sabonis.
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Nuggets vs. Kings SGP predictions
Parlay: Jokic 10+ assists | Nuggets -4.5 | Sabonis 12+ rebounds (+380)
Jokic 10+ assists (-159): It doesn’t seem like Jokic should still be capable of climbing to new statistical heights, but the three-time MVP is finding a way in his age-30 season.
Jokic currently leads the NBA in rebounds (13.0/game) and assists (11.9). His 11.9 APG is on track to be a career-high mark.
Keep in mind that Jokic just posted a career-high APG last season (10.2). But now he’s shooting less and passing more.
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- Jokic has attempted 15.0 shots/per game, down from 19.5 FGA last season.
- In addition to leading the NBA in assists, Jokic also leads the way in potential assists (19.2/game). A potential assist is any pass that leads directly to a shot.
Jokic has 10+ assists in seven of nine games, and he had exactly nine assists in both outliers.
Against the Kings, Jokic is 5-1 vs. this assists milestone in his past six matchups (with 14 assists in their lone meeting this year).
NBA SGP legs
Nuggets -5.5 (-182): Denver has begun establishing some extended dominance against Sacramento in recent seasons, and this is a number I expect the Nuggets to cover on Tuesday.
- The Nuggets have won six consecutive matchups vs. the Kings, covering a -5.5 spread in five of them. That includes a 130-124 win in Denver on Nov. 3.
- Since their win over the Kings, the Nuggets have won three straight games by 10+ points.
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Sacramento is coming off back-to-back home losses by 25+ points. On the season, the Kings are 1-4 ATS at home.
It’s early, but Denver looks like a legit title contender once again — and Sacramento looks like a team that will be clawing for a play-in spot.
The Nuggets have the second-best net rating in the NBA (+13.0), while the Kings have the fifth-worst (-8.0).
Sabonis 12+ rebounds (-137): Jokic may lead the NBA in rebounds, but he can’t be the only one bringing down boards at Golden 1 Center tonight.
Sabonis, the three-time reigning rebounds champ, should be expected to put up big numbers on the glass as usual.
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At 14.0 rebounds/game, Sabonis would be the rebounding leader again this year if he was qualified. But with a few games missed, he’s currently just off the pace.
Sabonis grabbed 17 rebounds last Monday against the Nuggets to extend a remarkably productive stretch against them.
He has 12+ rebounds in seven of his past eight head-to-head matchups against Denver. And he’s 6-1 vs. this milestone this season.
Nuggets vs. Kings SGP made at 11:50 a.m. ET 11/11/2025.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.