The red-hot Connor Bedard is Friday’s top NHL prop target.
The pregame narrative: Bedard is having a breakout season. He ranks top five in goals (13) and points (29), leading the resurgent Chicago Blackhawks to a 10-6-4 record. They’re favoured to keep things rolling against the Sabres in Buffalo tonight.
Check out my NHL prop picks for Nov. 21, featuring a fade on Minnesota Wild centre Joel Eriksson Ek.
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NHL prop picks
Best bet: Bedard over 3.5 shots (+115)
It seemed far-fetched to imagine Bedard would have a spot on the Canadian Olympic team just a few months ago.
But now? He’s beating the door down.
The third-year centre has the fourth-most points in hockey and is on a 12-game stretch where he’s tallied 11 goals and 11 assists.
Naturally, his point production markets have become far more juiced. He’s -275 to record a point tonight and +180 to nab a pair.
-> Bet on Bedard and the Blackhawks tonight
I think this is the best way to back Bedard, given his high shot volume and opponent.
- Bedard is averaging 4.0 shots in his last 12 games.
- He’s 7-2 against this line in November.
- Buffalo is allowing the most shot attempts (65.42) and shots (31.6) on a 60-minute basis, per Natural Stat Trick.
Key stat: Bedard has at least five shots in three straight games.
NHL predictions
Eriksson Ek to not record a point (+100): Another surprise in the NHL so far is the play of the Pittsburgh Penguins. They’re 10-5-4 and have the second-best goal differential (+12) in the Eastern Conference.
Maybe it’s not time to trade off Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin after all.
Strong goaltending has played a big part in Pittsburgh’s success, and I think Minnesota will have a hard time cracking Arturs Silovs tonight.
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Silovs ranks ninth in GAA (2.44) and fifth in SV% (.917) and is coming off back-to-back stellar performances.
Eriksson Ek plays on the Wild’s second line (read: not with Kirill Kaprizov) and is not a consistent point producer.
He’s had more games pointless (11) than with a point (10).
NHL prop picks made at 1:55 p.m. ET on Nov. 21, 2025.
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Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.