Our staff’s NFL Week 8 predictions comprise two ATS picks, one moneyline bet, and one player prop.
The Week 8 narrative: Aaron Rodgers faces the Green Bay Packers for the first time since leaving the franchise three years ago. Rodgers is off to a torrid start with the Pittsburgh Steelers and is looking to ride that wave. Elsewhere, the winless New York Jets are once again worth fading on the road.
Check out our NFL Week 8 staff best bets for our favourite picks this weekend.
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NFL Week 8 best bets
These NFL Week 8 best bets were provided by NorthStar Bets writers Jordan Horrobin and Avery Perri.
ATS picks
Falcons -7.5 (-106): The Miami Dolphins have been atrocious on pretty much a weekly basis, and they’ve been particularly terrible on the road.
Last week’s 31-6 loss to a mediocre-at-best Cleveland Browns squad punctuates that.
Miami is now 1-3 ATS on the road (0-4 SU) with a -63 point differential. Three of the four losses have come by a double-digit margin.
Michael Penix (knee) was limited in the Falcons’ walk-through on Wednesday, but that situation doesn’t seem to be too serious. And Kirk Cousins is as competent as a backup can be.
Atlanta is 2-1 ATS at home this season, with outright wins over the Bills and Commanders, as well as a three-point loss against the Buccaneers.
The Dolphins are notably worse than all of those teams, and I think a comfortable win for the Falcons should be expected.
-Horrobin
Bengals -6.5 (-112): This Jets season has gotten very ugly, very quickly.
New York is the NFL’s only winless team, and it has a disastrous quarterback situation brewing.
Owner Woody Johnson publicly called out Justin Fields, who was benched for Tyrod Taylor in Week 7, stating: “If you look at any head coach with a quarterback like that, you’re going to see similar results across the league.”
Now, Taylor is questionable to play with a knee injury, potentially lining up Fields for the start.
So the Jets will either have Fields, who has looked horrible so far, or a banged-up 38-year-old under centre.
Either one of those options should get boatraced by Joe Flacco and the Cincinnati Bengals.
Flacco looked great in his Bengals debut, throwing for 342 yards and beating the Pittsburgh Steelers as 5.5-point road underdogs on Thursday Night Football.
Cincy put up 33 points in that game, and New York has scored 17 combined points in its last two.
-Perri
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Moneyline bet
49ers to win (+100): Kyle Shanahan isn’t getting much Coach of the Year love — but he should be.
The 49ers are 5-2 and sit atop a deep NFC West division. And they’ve done that largely without George Kittle, Brock Purdy, Brandon Aiyuk and Nick Bosa.
Kittle returned last week, and Purdy is questionable after missing three straight games with an injury. If the QB is back, all the better, but we’ve seen this team can win without him.
Christian McCaffrey is all the way back, and the 49ers defence is playing tough under Robert Saleh.
Houston enters on short rest after losing 27-19 to the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football. San Fran beat that same Seahawks team back in Week 1.
Overall, the Texans are 2-4 with wins agianst the bottom-feeding Tennesee Titans and Lamar Jackson-less Baltimore Ravens.
I’ll glady back the road underdog in this spot.
-Perri
NFL Week 8 best bets: Player props
Rodgers over 1.5 passing TDs (-110): Rodgers recently told reporters he doesn’t have any animosity toward the Green Bay Packers, so I’m not going to try to push the revenge-game narrative too hard. And the game isn’t at Lambeau Field, anyway.
With that in mind, this pick is merely about an old guy who’s still got it.
The 41-year-old has 14 passing TDs in six games, going 4-2 vs. this prop. He has the NFL’s highest TD rate (8.1%), which might seem fluky, but he’s led the NFL in that stat four times before.
-> Bet on Aaron Rodgers to shine on SNF
Rodgers is known to do some of his best work in the red zone rather than handing the offence over to the run game.
So far in 2025, he’s 19 for 25 in the red zone with 10 TD passes. The RB room has 25 red zone rushes combined, so it’s truly an even split.
Green Bay’s run defence ranks inside the top six in attempts, yards, touchdowns and yards/attempt allowed. I expect Rodgers to take matters into his own hands.
-Horrobin
NFL Week 8 best bets made at 12 p.m. ET on 10/23/2025.
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