Another week, another loaded NFL slate for bettors to tackle against the spread.
The Week 7 narrative: Only one game has a spread larger than a touchdown, as the Kansas City Chiefs are favoured by 12 against the Las Vegas Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium. Our staff is split on that matchup, but has three consensus picks from this 15-game slate.
Check out our staff’s Week 7 NFL ATS picks for predictions on every game.
NFL ATS picks: Week 7
NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, Spencer Closs, Chris Toman and Steven Psihogios offer up their Week 7 NFL ATS picks for all 15 games.
NFL odds as of 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 16, 2025.
Thursday Night Football pick
Steelers vs. Bengals (Thursday, Oct. 16: 8:15 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Pittsburgh -5.5
Closs says: Joe Flacco looks like a way better fit in this offence. He threw for 219 yards, two TD passes and no interceptions in his first game under centre. Cincy is 1-0 ATS with their new starting QB. Pittsburgh’s rolling at 4-1, but has a bottom-half defence. The Steelers should score a lot, but so should the Bengals, and that makes me believe they can keep pace with this sizable spread.
Staff picks: Perri (CIN) | Horrobin (CIN) | Closs (CIN) | Toman (CIN) | Psihogios (CIN)
NFL London game prediction
Rams vs. Jaguars (Sunday, Oct. 19: 9:30 a.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -3
Horrobin says: Jacksonville has two underdog wins in its past three games (vs. Chiefs, at 49ers) and should be a live dog in its second home, London. Sunday marks the Jaguars’ 14th game across the pond since 2013. The Rams might not have Puka Nacua, who started the practice week on the shelf, and they only put up 17 points on the Ravens’ league-worst defence last week.
Staff picks: Perri (JAX) | Horrobin (JAX) | Closs (JAX) | Toman (JAX) | Psihogios (JAX)
NFL ATS picks: The early Sunday slate
Panthers vs. Jets (Sunday, Oct. 19: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Carolina -1
Closs says: Call me crazy, but I’m going with the Jets. The Panthers are 3-3 on the year but have yet to win on the road, where they average 15 points on offence while conceding 31.6 on defence. New York has nothing to show from Weeks 1-6 but has been mostly competitive. It’s lost three different games by two points each and is 3-3 ATS in 2025.
Staff picks: Perri (CAR) | Horrobin (CAR) | Closs (NYJ) | Toman (CAR) | Psihogios (CAR)
Raiders vs. Chiefs (Sunday, Oct. 19: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -12
Horrobin says: I think the Chiefs are proving to be legitimate contenders once again. KC will finally have its full stable of receivers this week, as Rashee Rice returns from a suspension to join Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy. The Chiefs have covered a -12 spread in three of their past four, including a 30-17 win over the Detroit Lions last week. The Raiders have lost back-to-back road games by 17+ points.
Staff picks: Perri (KC) | Horrobin (KC) | Closs (KC) | Toman (LV) | Psihogios (LV)
Dolphins vs. Browns (Sunday, Oct. 19: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Cleveland -2.5
Perri says: Cleveland’s defence is elite, ranking first in pass rush win rate and run block win rate. I expect that unit to give Tua Tagovailoa serious problems all day long. With that said, the Browns shouldn’t need many points to cover this number. I expect Quinshon Judkins to have a big day against a Dolphins defence giving up an astronomical 5.6 yards per carry.
Staff picks: Perri (CLE) | Horrobin (CLE) | Closs (CLE) | Toman (MIA) | Psihogios (CLE)
Patriots vs. Titans (Sunday, Oct. 19: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: New England -7
Perri says: The Patriots are riding a three-game winning streak heading into this matchup, and I’m positive Mike Vrabel is itching to lay a beating on his old team. Tennessee is 1-5 with a miracle win over the Cardinals, which should have gone in Arizona’s favour. If you strike that from the record, the Titans have a -79 point differential and have not covered a +7 spread.
Staff picks: Perri (NE) | Horrobin (NE) | Closs (TEN) | Toman (NE) | Psihogios (TEN)
Saints vs. Bears (Sunday, Oct. 19: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Chicago -4.5
Horrobin says: Chicago made great use of its bye week, coming out of it with a victory in Washington as a 5.5-point underdog. The Bears have now won three in a row SU as underdogs. They’re laying points this week, but it’s a manageable line vs. a Saints squad that has failed to cover this number in five of six games. New Orleans has scored 21 or fewer points in five of six, too.
Staff picks: Perri (NO) | Horrobin (CHI) | Closs (NO) | Toman (CHI) | Psihogios (NO)
Eagles vs. Vikings (Sunday, Oct. 19: 1 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Eagles -2
Toman says: Philadelphia has had extra time to prepare after getting embarrassed by the Giants on Thursday Night Football. For all their warts, the Eagles are a clear step up in competition after the Vikings got the Bengals and Browns in two of their last three weeks. Minnesota’s run defence has been carved up, making this an exploitable matchup for gamechangers Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts.
Staff picks: Perri (MIN) | Horrobin (MIN) | Closs (PHI) | Toman (PHI) | Psihogios (PHI)
NFL 4 p.m. slate
Colts vs. Chargers (Sunday, Oct. 19: 4:05 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Chargers -1.5
Toman says: Los Angeles has slowed down considerably since its 3-0 start, which included wins over the Chiefs and Broncos. Since: 1-2, with losses to the Giants and Commanders, and an 0-3 ATS mark. Now they get the first-place Colts (5-1), who have the best point differential in the NFL (+78), thanks to an explosive offence led by Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor.
Staff picks: Perri (LAC) | Horrobin (IND) | Closs (IND) | Toman (IND) | Psihogios (IND)
Giants vs. Broncos (Sunday, Oct. 19: 4:05 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Denver -7
Closs says: Denver’s offence isn’t good enough to warrant these big spreads. The Broncos score 21.7 points per game, which ranks in the bottom half, and they’re coming off a 13-point performance against the Jets. The Giants have new life under Jaxon Dart, winning two of his three starts against good teams (Eagles, Chargers). I can’t say for sure that he’ll improve to 3-1, but he should be able to keep the Giants well within striking distance.
Staff picks: Perri (DEN) | Horrobin (DEN) | Closs (NYG) | Toman (NYG) | Psihogios (NYG)
Packers vs. Cardinals (Sunday, Oct. 19: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -6.5
Perri says: The Cardinals have 12 players on their injury report this week, including Kyler Murray (foot) and Marvin Harrison Jr. (concussion). Even if they suit up, it’s hard to imagine the offence operating at 100%. And anything less than 100% should be problematic against the Micah Parsons-led Packers. On the other side, Jordan Love has quietly put together a solid start and should carve up a weak secondary.
Staff picks: Perri (GB) | Horrobin (GB) | Closs (GB) | Toman (GB) | Psihogios (ARI)
Commanders vs. Cowboys (Sunday, Oct. 19: 4:25 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Dallas +2
Perri says: Dak Prescott is on a rampage right now, ranking second in passing yards (1,617) and TDs (13) through six games. That’s only led to a 2-3-1 record, though, thanks to an atrocious defence on the other side of the ball. Still, I’m confident the Cowboys can go blow-for-blow with anyone, and I am not sold on the Commanders’ defence just yet. Give me the home divisional underdog.
Staff picks: Perri (DAL) | Horrobin (DAL) | Closs (DAL) | Toman (DAL) | Psihogios (DAL)
Sunday and Monday Night NFL ATS picks
Falcons vs. 49ers (Sunday, Oct. 19: 8:20 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: San Francisco -2.5
Closs says: Atlanta allows the fewest yards on defence to go along with a dangerous run game that leads the league in rushing yards. San Francisco continues to struggle with injuries, and once again, both Mac Jones and Brock Purdy are questionable ahead of this weekend. The Falcons have won two straight games as an underdog, and I like their chances of improving to 4-2 on Sunday Night Football.
Staff picks: Perri (SF) | Horrobin (ATL) | Closs (ATL) | Toman (ATL) | Psihogios (ATL)
Buccaneers vs. Lions (Monday, Oct. 20: 7 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Detroit -5.5
Horrobin says: The Bucs will have some notable absences, including Bucky Irving and Emeka Egbuka, but I’m happy to put my faith in Baker Mayfield with this many points. Even with a skeleton offence at times, Mayfield has a 12:1 TD-to-INT ratio while authoring a league-high four fourth-quarter comebacks. On defence, Tampa Bay ranks No. 1 in EPA per rush, according to RBSDM.com, which should create problems for Detroit’s run-heavy scheme.
Staff picks: Perri (DET) | Horrobin (TB) | Closs (DET) | Toman (DET) | Psihogios (DET)
Texans vs. Seahawks (Monday, Oct. 20: 10 p.m. ET)
NorthStar Bets line: Seattle -3
Horrobin says: Houston is riding high after a pair of blowout wins over bad teams (Titans, Ravens), but I really like where Seattle is at right now. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their past five, and they’ve held five of six opponents to 20 points or fewer. Seattle’s secondary has been really banged up, but if any combination of Devon Witherspoon, Riq Woolen and/or Julian Love returns, I’ll be particularly bullish on this line.
Staff picks: Perri (SEA) | Horrobin (SEA) | Closs (SEA) | Toman (SEA) | Psihogios (HOU)
NFL ATS picks: Week 6 + season records: Closs: 9-6-0 (47-46-0) | Psihogios: 9-6-0 (45-48-0) | Toman: 5-10-0 (44-49-0) | Perri: 6-9-0 (43-50-0) | Horrobin: 9-6-0 (42-51-0)
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